TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Liam Coen win NFL Coach of the Year?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,876 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde04…fa37backed Yes4c6,107$240 inLost-$239.6264747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c5,781$71 inLost-$71.215679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes1c3,160$29 inLost-$29.01611.6%1 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-95.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes5c2,458$118 inLost-$117.7520238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e80…245dbacked Yes3c2,189$72 inLost-$7250%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes5c1,289$59 inLost-$58.7511837.3%44 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes1c1,250$12 inLost-$12.462133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x724d…8deabacked Yes4c1,231$53 inLost-$53.222814.3%4 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-78.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes2c1,080$17 inLost-$17.485024%12 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes5c683.44$33 inLost-$33.377910.1%8 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes5c618.45$32 inLost-$31.5434349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c2…8915backed Yes8c587.91$44 inLost-$44.241513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes6c431$26 inLost-$25.753923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-54.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes5c405.02$21 inLost-$20.8429439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c402.63$11 inLost-$11.3123024.3%56 W · 174 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes6c397.4$22 inLost-$22.071444.9%7 W · 137 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a16…9147backed Yes8c307.65$25 inLost-$24.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcff…a5d5backed Yes6c300$17 inLost-$1711933.6%40 W · 79 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes6c299.99$17 inLost-$17.427835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes6c286.61$17 inLost-$17.344712.8%6 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes5c242.58$12 inLost-$11.68283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes6c200$13 inLost-$12.84240%0 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes6c199.99$11 inLost-$11.3370%0 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes7c189.72$12 inLost-$12.4718629.6%55 W · 131 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6416…18d7backed Yes6c176.82$11 inLost-$10.851225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No77c171.91$132 inWon+$39.9628151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd953…3d97backed Yes14c77.21$10 inLost-$10.51060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.