TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x724d…8dea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Golf, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 55 out of 100; worst Olympics at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2814.3%4 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-78.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$438.3
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$471.77
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$981.72
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$108.69
Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$109.49
Will Puka Nacua win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$178.67
Will Carson Schwesinger be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$55.44
Will James Pearce Jr. be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$68.14
Will Nick Emmanowori be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$137.03
Will Liam Coen win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$53.22
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$208.09
Will Ben Johnson win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$59.62
Will Kyle Shanahan win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$105.26
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$201.75
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$278.88
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$75.14
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+84.2%+$734.71
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+48.5%+$379.89
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$124.38
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+46.2%+$411
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$33.86
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17.52
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$33.29
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+27.9%+$305.58
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.03
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.28
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$97
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$24.08
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+200%+$100
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.92
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Spread: United States (-2.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$353.13
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.96
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.13
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.91
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$170.93
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.36
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$409.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.31
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.99
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.77
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$117.24
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$210.81
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66%+$165.64
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.25
Bitcoin above $112K on September 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,123Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+264.7%+$2,971.84
Bitcoin above $118K on September 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.84
Bitcoin above $114K on September 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,475.45
Bitcoin above $108K on September 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,008.99
Bitcoin above $110K on September 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,326.41
Bitcoin above $116K on September 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$461.77
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$708.24
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.84
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+384.5%+$1,582.09
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.66
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.07
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+377.1%+$1,891.68
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.32
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.61
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.83
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.89
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.72
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.64
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.47
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80.77
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40.36
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$355.41
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$749.78
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.64
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.68
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.31
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$4.82
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+1,047.5%+$246.47
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$33.49
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.38
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+36%+$100.07
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+147.6%+$805.98
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.71
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.85
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+85%+$331.05
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$58.86
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.48
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$184.06
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.19
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.78
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.85
Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$186
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$191.88
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.6
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$282.05
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$51.84
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$98.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+131.2%+$182
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$145.18
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$194.79
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+181.2%+$312.07
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.4%+$439.29
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$166.18
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.47
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.43
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Olympics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$125.19
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$221.23
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$251.52
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$241.61
Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$620.93
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$88.03
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$138.4
Will Kokomo Murase (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$85.44
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+96%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$105.56
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$342.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+66.2%+$2,263.64
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,384.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$172.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.