TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spainof Spain, Austria
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$722,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$745,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $722,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Austria71c106,289$75,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,991.144,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Austria71c75,386$53,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,691.7877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Spain27c62,089$16,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,531.682,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spain27c42,867$11,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,232.172,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Austria57c29,732$16,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,872.8817550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Spain26c26,890$6,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,911.788048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Austria73c26,265$19,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,137.7220724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Austria74c21,272$15,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,802.343,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Austria75c20,074$15,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,004.9774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Spain26c18,465$4,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,647.0251032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Austria7c17,207$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.4534122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Spain26c16,400$4,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,217.9414139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfffa…864bbacked Austria74c13,910$10,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,293.081631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4810…289abacked Austria61c12,333$7,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,537.624151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spain29c12,222$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,691.9625019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spain29c10,990$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,854.931,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Spain34c10,892$3,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,189.249525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Austria74c10,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,349.983036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spain25c9,928$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,415.3949441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Spain41c8,780$3,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,172.9920646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spain26c8,000$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,944.941,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Austria66c7,642$5,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,014.5710550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Spain32c7,114$2,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,837.5314250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Spain26c6,964$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,153.371,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Austria75c6,910$5,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,148.2975335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Austria72c6,903$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,001.31,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked Spain28c6,683$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,793.785832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Spain30c6,298$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,384.5342345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spain36c6,042$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,845.762,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8148…3143backed Austria80c5,287$4,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,216333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Spain27c5,269$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,857.991,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Spain32c5,177$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,543.7653629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Spain40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0004774.5%35 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Spain27c4,844$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,514.8837223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Spain27c4,210$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.91,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Austria72c4,200$3,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,043.2343248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Austria71c4,152$2,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958.4470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Austria69c4,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,76010471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Spain29c4,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.8535229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked Spain25c3,872$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.323754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Spain29c3,733$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.976633.3%22 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Spain25c3,497$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.8518633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Spain30c3,333$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343.2141968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Austria71c3,140$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.871,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x030c…537bbacked Spain24c2,530$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+107.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Austria34c2,525$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.913,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Austria73c2,265$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.386648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spain28c2,172$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.974252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spain35c2,060$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Spain25c2,000$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,49538026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Spain27c2,000$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.9724635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Spain26c1,923$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.0889443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Spain27c1,852$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.8517636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Austria65c1,831$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.0526459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Spain28c1,791$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.1117751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Spain29c1,739$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.1310234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Austria74c1,714$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2684238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Spain28c1,633$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.357237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58a3…5336backed Spain31c1,626$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.12334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Austria67c1,515$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.5924849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spain41c1,497$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.594,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Spain35c1,417$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.610537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Spain28c1,287$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.4360821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bed…9fd6backed Spain25c1,217$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.115431.5%17 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick25cpaid-7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Austria68c1,209$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.291,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Spain28c1,179$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.7636123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Austria64c1,154$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.5485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f40…4383backed Spain44c1,139$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.24240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…421bbacked Austria73c1,096$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008432.1%27 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Austria74c1,087$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.522,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spain24c1,056$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80036031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed Austria76c1,056$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Spain29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.483537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Spain49c1,010$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.220253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Spain45c1,010$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.49977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick42cpaid+110.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Spain26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74024045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Spain29c993.1$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.111346%52 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Spain29c948.84$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.0422436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd105…3613backed Austria58c943.4$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.242119%4 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Spain28c904$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.8246230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Austria71c898$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.5851250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spain27c890.59$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.573,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Spain29c860.8$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.817345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Spain29c820.2$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.2410448.1%50 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Spain28c800$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.729573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Spain37c800$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5026750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Spain26c774$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.7858530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed Spain33c757.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.566538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Austria62c719.31$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.5818765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Spain28c715$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.826644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Spain24c700$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.253735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b34…c6efbacked Austria74c700$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.254944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Spain43c689.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.668951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Austria73c687.1$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50116753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Austria74c658$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.8818056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd790…2c61backed Spain43c657.01$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.212326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd124…aa4dbacked Spain31c653.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.611471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+61.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Spain35c651.26$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.2617527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Spain29c622.17$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.6815920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Austria36c606.24$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21916725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.