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Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over66c11,639$7,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.162,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under41c7,048$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.774,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under35c4,999$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.421,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c4,488$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.264,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Under1c3,898$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.985127.5%14 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under1c3,130$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6495…0181backed Over53c3,037$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.5511855.9%66 W · 52 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8731…2c12backed Under38c1,255$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4762334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under35c999.93$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9812947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under35c985.99$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.12,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x792e…fd6cbacked Over66c939.53$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.442853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4514568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under31c798.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8722731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under34c768.91$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.422,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under52c707.49$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.928251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over64c565.99$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4714440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2207639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under33c499.97$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e75…47e1backed Under33c413$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over65c389.32$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3210844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfecb…4c05backed Over66c383.26$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.268845.5%40 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0182…5e6abacked Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+144.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f0…5f9ebacked Under37c353.41$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.762259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under32c348.58$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1441231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.537955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed Over67c303.7$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.222560%15 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.621,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over63c299.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9910562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Over67c238.25$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6232044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Over68c221.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.124344.4%108 W · 135 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under32c215.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8918248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9d…930fbacked Over56c196.43$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4318037.2%67 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf05…5efcbacked Over55c178$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.13246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over53c171.96$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9533438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under31c164.88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under16c162.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9510420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under45c154.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.952,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d89…dc09backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8515344.4%68 W · 85 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x635a…8439backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.855962.7%37 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x778c…061abacked Over68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488243.9%36 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Under34c138.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.045646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under37c130$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.131046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under33c126.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.813,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Under36c123.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over50c122$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.941,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc088…17fbbacked Over67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.41050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Under35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010534.3%36 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c112.64$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.698,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0734…fb8dbacked Over68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5050450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb6…8c80backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed Over63c99.31$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.744374.4%32 W · 11 L+10.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+48.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6ae0…243dbacked Over59c92.41$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.891844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.299455.3%52 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed Under35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over67c81.62$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2618548.1%89 W · 96 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.542554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over64c79.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.551,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under33c78.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.272,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6351045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under45c70.4$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.683,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over67c66.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.141,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over63c64.46$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8576551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over55c58.87$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2721565.1%140 W · 75 L+16.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under34c58.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7729646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725d…42b0backed Over51c55.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.323735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6316544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.082552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.519040.5%77 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Over68c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1633847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd637…a323backed Over66c46.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.972326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb4…45d4backed Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1515461%94 W · 60 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…a3b8backed Over66c45.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.625076%38 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under35c41.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2948154.9%264 W · 217 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2226344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86be…62d0backed Over67c37.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4316740.7%68 W · 99 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Over63c35.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1525857%147 W · 111 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4143…3783backed Over67c35.52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7215746.5%73 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1853…6c81backed Over63c35.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.110553.3%56 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc169…cb6abacked Over71c35.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2817047.1%80 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4492…8b9abacked Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+98.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under34c33.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4748937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca1…40a2backed Over57c33.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.321681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0b4…eed0backed Over67c31.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.341794.1%16 W · 1 L+4.9wins+0.29per pick65cpaid+45.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaac8…6495backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7715755.4%87 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe36b…f873backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.776454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.132855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Over67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.97460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x069b…4b1abacked Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50df…597dbacked Over65c29.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.237557.3%43 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03d9…4cc8backed Under59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd301…f176backed Over65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.088055%44 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over51c20.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8df8…a552backed Over65c16.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.928046.3%37 W · 43 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf1a…7e9bbacked Over65c16.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.89580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.