Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9450f93344717a8e426a38dca091e62ce8f20096c4cc7f8871d6eeba017209e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 7,244$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.68 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,325$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…70cdbacked Yes | 17c | 2,177$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 5c | 1,948$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…5b4fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 18c | 1,005$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…56b7backed Yes | 8c | 630.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…7e42backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e9…5278backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 17c | 588.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yes | 6c | 584$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Yes | 15c | 510$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 7c | 499.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 9c | 354$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 7c | 352.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 337.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Yes | 8c | 258.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 16c | 248$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…8d1abacked Yes | 21c | 238.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 14c | 217.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes | 6c | 194$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…d7a8backed Yes | 11c | 190.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…4ca3backed Yes | 17c | 158.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abc…636abacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff6…6b4dbacked Yes | 16c | 125.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0734…fb8dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…f422backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 13c | 80.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 16c | 69.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…e2f6backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Austria won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.