Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5f642828d22e5d96f2393a41a32e1f5173664931db07020d157aa7372bc0363
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 9c | 54,907$5,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,046.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 8c | 7,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Under | 9c | 5,423$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.86 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 12c | 4,278$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.95 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ce…1276backed Under | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 10c | 2,711$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.52 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 8c | 2,596$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.14 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 137 | 5.1%7 W · 130 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Under | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 9c | 1,844$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Under | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 12c | 1,077$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Under | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Under | 2c | 779.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 8cpaid | +805.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 9c | 719.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 8c | 680.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 9c | 674.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 8c | 649.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 9c | 554$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Under | 9c | 509.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 8c | 400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841a…61adbacked Under | 16c | 315.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 7c | 304.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 6c | 303.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Under | 16c | 262$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 5c | 255.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Under | 9c | 219.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 8c | 202.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847b…04d8backed Under | 9c | 201.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 8c | 195$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 15c | 185$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Under | 10c | 183.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 8c | 150.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 328 | 37.2%122 W · 206 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 12c | 91.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 0.5this page
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Austria won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.