TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$743,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$802,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $743,495 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c44,239$8,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,654.764,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under19c41,007$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,699.633,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under1c37,659$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.5928229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under19c28,742$5,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,320.920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6567…c807backed Under25c28,059$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00011942%50 W · 69 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under16c22,169$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,530.721,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under19c19,221$3,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,678.691,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Under20c17,640$3,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,528.0621029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae95…7adabacked Over78c15,000$11,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.52070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under23c14,349$3,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,369.1714250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebd…ba30backed Under18c12,100$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,208.2516033.1%53 W · 107 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under16c11,085$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.074,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Over79c9,114$7,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9163167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under18c8,525$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.4170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under17c8,274$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.872,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under20c8,203$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.5533538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under17c7,557$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.6213234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under16c6,714$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.2631851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under2c5,708$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7525125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Under19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.997237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under20c5,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.0315128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over75c4,520$3,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.0574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under33c4,500$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.1329740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…d9c8backed Under19c4,277$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.082437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under17c4,178$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.511,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over77c4,135$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.4712763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18f3…b4e9backed Over67c4,000$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3301464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under21c3,848$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.041,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over80c3,829$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.9123558.3%137 W · 98 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under17c3,286$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.762,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Under2c3,251$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5110014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under20c3,051$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.151,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under17c3,008$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.832,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under18c2,996$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.2536031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under18c2,693$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.3910518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over80c2,653$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.72,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over77c2,647$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.7533544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under20c2,489$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.051,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under12c2,384$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3933740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over76c2,296$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.5737944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Under23c2,206$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under17c2,196$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.862,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under18c2,105$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.3668141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Over80c2,009$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.843470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b57…95e1backed Over80c2,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.943865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over80c1,969$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.5837223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under18c1,944$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35043635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under21c1,865$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.861,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under19c1,610$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.3730137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under17c1,609$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.6115846.2%73 W · 85 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Under13c1,559$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.781145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under1c1,507$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.079323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under19c1,494$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.822731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over77c1,346$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.41,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under20c1,252$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under18c1,250$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22547235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Under2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Over80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508254.9%45 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c11…bd90backed Over80c1,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2408053.8%43 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under30c1,166$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.8777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over79c1,150$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.57364.4%47 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under1c1,107$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0714238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under35c1,077$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.0419744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under10c1,062$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.472,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under21c1,055$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.43,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under14c1,050$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3522639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over78c1,026$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.649466%62 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bec…d26abacked Over78c1,026$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.6412533.6%42 W · 83 L-0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under20c1,013$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005228.8%15 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over76c1,000$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.511042.7%47 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under24c1,000$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.53,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under21c1,000$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.530626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under19c1,000$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.546546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over79c989.2$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.559573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under14c987.23$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd189…b261backed Under22c965.36$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.831936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over69c958.78$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2285550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.999233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf0f…9f36backed Over72c902.78$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.78977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7306…0a93backed Under23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under22c852.26$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.56648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Over80c807.1$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4215240.8%62 W · 90 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under17c800$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13613548.9%66 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under19c783.7$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.741,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under14c749.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2619723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under34c735.29$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.7911637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under24c702.6$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0929450%147 W · 147 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x825f…0d95backed Over80c679.11$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.822466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4388…fdbebacked Over80c673$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.62254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.