TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,985 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under20c731.09$146 inLost-$146.2258049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed Over80c373.59$299 inWon+$74.722560%15 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48c1…42e1backed Over80c243.75$195 inWon+$48.751540%6 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6408…c7aebacked Over79c200.11$158 inWon+$42.126136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under22c149.98$33 inLost-$3357252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…a3b8backed Over77c116.19$89 inWon+$26.725076%38 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x524c…9944backed Over79c45$36 inWon+$9.453363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbba2…24febacked Over77c32.91$25 inWon+$7.732770.4%19 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over73c26.56$19 inWon+$7.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb4…45d4backed Over78c25.64$20 inWon+$5.6415461%94 W · 60 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf110…218ebacked Over71c21.04$15 inWon+$6.045457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9494…77c8backed Over78c19.23$15 inWon+$4.232673.1%19 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd85c…56afbacked Over80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.54372.1%31 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.