Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d460eeb0b6ec9126745fccceb55fc9b6f73599116c8f046ddc25c6bef9409ab

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,637 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb10b…0b04backed Over	51c	5,555$2,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,721.94	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under	49c	4,320$2,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,116.67	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	44c	3,168$1,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,782.9	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Under	51c	2,675$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,371.65	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under	66c	1,815$1,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,203.88	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Over	46c	1,630$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.22	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Under	48c	1,630$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782.39	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over	52c	1,472$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.46	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	46c	1,134$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.29	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	47c	1,005$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.21	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over	52c	879.35$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.45	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	60c	866.87$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.75	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Under	48c	830.74$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	125	29.6%37 W · 88 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Over	51c	784.15$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.15	221	47.1%104 W · 117 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	43c	514.55$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.35	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc330…2b7bbacked Under	51c	488.81$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	72	29.2%21 W · 51 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Under	49c	475.51$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233	128	53.9%69 W · 59 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed Over	53c	433.12$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.57	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	54c	361.5$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.5	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Under	16c	356.85$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.1	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	+4.7wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	+170.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under	49c	288$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.12	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23d1…214ebacked Over	52c	279.42$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.12	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	47c	255.04$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.13	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	49c	240.92$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.05	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	13c	213.23$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.46	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under	49c	195.8$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.94	455	48.6%221 W · 234 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over	55c	160.36$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.36	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f90…4c92backed Over	52c	153.85$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.85	206	30.6%63 W · 143 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	45c	150.36$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.66	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	42c	124.04$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.99	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfecb…4c05backed Over	55c	117.86$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.86	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over	47c	116.52$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.76	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over	52c	110$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.8	220	58.2%128 W · 92 L	+18.8wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under	49c	97.9$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.97	480	55.2%265 W · 215 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef3…b2ddbacked Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	98	42.9%42 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over	51c	91.31$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.74	185	48.1%89 W · 96 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	48c	83.58$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.42	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under	48c	81$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.88	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x436d…dadebacked Under	46c	79.41$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.91	174	60.3%105 W · 69 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	49c	70.72$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.47	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	61c	69.12$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.96	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6566…e719backed Over	49c	60.1$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.55	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under	49c	57$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.93	373	52.5%196 W · 177 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	73c	49.3$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.46	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Over	45c	43.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.95	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+34.7wins	+0.18per pick	38cpaid	+61%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under	36c	43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.48	249	47.4%118 W · 131 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	49c	42.26$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.72	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	97	34%33 W · 64 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over	47c	39.61$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.99	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d3a…b386backed Over	55c	36.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.04	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04ab…c326backed Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	131	49.6%65 W · 66 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under	49c	32.08$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.72	295	56.6%167 W · 128 L	+19.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	52c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…a3b8backed Over	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	50	76%38 W · 12 L	+6.3wins	+0.13per pick	63cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Under	47c	29$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.63	224	52.7%118 W · 106 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d53…200ebacked Over	52c	28.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2abe…6e2dbacked Under	49c	26.69$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.08	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under	48c	24.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	163	44.2%72 W · 91 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfdb…703dbacked Over	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	37cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bae…bcbfbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	127	60.6%77 W · 50 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	90	64.4%58 W · 32 L	+11.7wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	57c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2490…7e61backed Over	54c	18.75$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Austria (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Austria (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Austria (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Austria won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Austria won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Austria won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event