TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$779,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$788,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $779,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe9a6…627bbacked Under55c226,873$123,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,908.411645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c190,823$87,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,320.984,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c62,890$28,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,199.433,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Under52c59,999$31,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,799.727346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under52c49,995$26,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,895.512,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c44…0fb0backed Over47c25,234$11,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,835.82080%16 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over47c19,983$9,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,392.2217852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over45c19,786$9,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,000.72,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over48c15,779$7,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,574.0470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over46c14,016$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.972,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over46c11,728$5,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,368.9546550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under52c10,370$5,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,974.3724058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8009645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c9,891$4,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,748.422,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over50c9,588$4,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,789.091,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over47c8,441$3,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,927.4740655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over38c6,858$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.642,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.9822451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over48c5,965$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,842.7219038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Under61c5,000$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9251526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over48c4,478$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.753,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c4,428$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,21477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Under58c4,061$2,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.0915937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under66c3,894$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.111,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over48c3,365$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.131,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over48c3,246$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.81,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2a…79f3backed Under50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over46c2,286$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.3472722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over42c2,160$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.572,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over46c2,150$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98937754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over46c2,122$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.151,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over24c2,077$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked Under59c2,036$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.28450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9808057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94019150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c1…a09ebacked Under53c2,000$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9307444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9811755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over45c1,719$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.3477845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c1,665$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Under62c1,615$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.9212556.8%71 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under63c1,541$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.1716357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under53c1,500$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71025352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under64c1,445$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4411558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Over46c1,350$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6215356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Under52c1,300$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6248341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over44c1,273$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.1259752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over37c1,272$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.6358049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under55c1,238$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.632,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c1,229$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.522,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd016…6114backed Over29c1,200$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.992828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under49c1,194$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.9518738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under55c1,186$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.972,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked Under50c1,156$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5788647.7%41 W · 45 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over36c1,060$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.5882537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked Over47c1,050$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.57347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe580…3554backed Under53c1,038$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.742458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef88…d62cbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48011545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb944…15a3backed Over38c999.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3803369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b90…52aebacked Under49c999.59$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.791822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under53c963.14$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0722731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Under68c920.57$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.581145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under52c888.06$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.283,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over46c885.54$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.220638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under66c796.88$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.911,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under59c773.6$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.632,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2367447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c676.44$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.463,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under55c642.93$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.3224950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over44c640.44$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.364,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c629.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9936250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under63c622.2$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.721,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under53c618$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.373,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3f…0aa4backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30614745.6%67 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under65c600$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.51,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over44c581$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.512,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over44c581$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.512,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.924065%26 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ce…1276backed Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.921546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over39c518.82$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.724,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under61c510$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.912862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over46c501$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4661752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Under72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1405563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23510247.1%48 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23519251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2453063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22512056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2357047.1%33 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d3…c92fbacked Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2354736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23518644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7d…058fbacked Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7056…b9a9backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2357945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.