Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad4c809234ed3611262865264ae3c075721f6ca2e3c86c76b0a7bb5da94cc70c

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $374,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $419,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,269 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under	7c	55,800$3,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,945.99	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	6c	20,422$1,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,317.41	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under	6c	19,999$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.96	132	34.1%45 W · 87 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under	5c	10,000$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	5c	9,912$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.61	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under	6c	9,840$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586.94	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	8c	9,359$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.06	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under	8c	8,050$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.95	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	6c	6,949$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.54	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under	6c	6,370$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.51	338	43.5%147 W · 191 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Under	5c	4,928$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.45	319	45.1%144 W · 175 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	9c	4,870$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.65	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under	5c	4,065$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.43	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c5…22f7backed Under	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under	5c	3,723$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.77	122	24.6%30 W · 92 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under	5c	3,333$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.65	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Under	6c	3,242$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.36	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	6c	3,241$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.81	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	8c	3,211$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.96	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under	5c	3,200$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.5	301	37.2%112 W · 189 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	5c	3,000$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.5	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3e…abeabacked Under	5c	3,000$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.5	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d5…658bbacked Under	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	153	36.6%56 W · 97 L	+12.2wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	137	5.1%7 W · 130 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	2cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ed…3363backed Under	7c	1,861$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.18	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	9c	1,667$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under	6c	1,629$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.06	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4078…eed8backed Under	5c	1,471$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.38	52	50%26 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under	6c	1,243$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.97	357	19.6%70 W · 287 L	-13.8wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under	2c	1,200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	+10.2wins	+0.09per pick	3cpaid	+348.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…d0ecbacked Under	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	5c	866.24$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.82	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under	5c	800$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	6c	756.39$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.15	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	9c	700$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.21	199	46.7%93 W · 106 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under	5c	639.06$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc279…6465backed Under	6c	638.74$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.2	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0c…9189backed Under	5c	638$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.9	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+81%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe28c…ffb3backed Under	2c	600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+5.6wins	+0.19per pick	8cpaid	+805.6%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under	7c	501.56$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.47	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	217	22.1%48 W · 169 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under	10c	499.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Under	6c	484.7$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.87	73	30.1%22 W · 51 L	-6.2wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd437…ba37backed Under	5c	484.04$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.78	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	7c	471.59$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.86	294	50%147 W · 147 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	6c	465.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.88	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…5ec8backed Under	8c	440$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Under	6c	420$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	98	30.6%30 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Under	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	200	25.5%51 W · 149 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under	5c	322.17$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.11	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd4a…bd1abacked Under	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under	4c	289$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.28	69	58%40 W · 29 L	+6.6wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Under	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	470	29.1%137 W · 333 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5de…1987backed Under	6c	260.87$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	50	30%15 W · 35 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Under	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	120	13.3%16 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under	4c	241.18$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Under	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	234	29.1%68 W · 166 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b22…0c6fbacked Under	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…8c62backed Under	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under	5c	199.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85bc…5c5ebacked Under	7c	171.44$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under	8c	166.32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under	8c	150.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under	8c	145.9$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5this page
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Austria (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Austria (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Austria (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Austria won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Austria won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Austria won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event