Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e2fbb3d98743a09fba22c6f941475a94bc08f8421641b5482f8fd2b1a82844e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24a4…9bc8backed Over | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 1,294$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.67 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 9c | 732$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…f8d6backed Over | 29c | 654.31$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Over | 30c | 649.93$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Under | 72c | 598.44$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.56 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…9b3cbacked Under | 75c | 443.04$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6d…7aaebacked Over | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 25c | 318.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 31c | 297.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 69c | 292.16$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Over | 24c | 274.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 27c | 263.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Over | 28c | 232.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Over | 26c | 190$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…6998backed Over | 16c | 173.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 70c | 149.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 38c | 143.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…4ee4backed Over | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 73c | 131.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 74c | 128.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 28c | 115.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…061abacked Over | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 70c | 87.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 74c | 75.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…dc09backed Over | 28c | 71.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Over | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 70c | 62.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Over | 28c | 60.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 70c | 53.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…239fbacked Over | 31c | 50.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 28c | 49.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 27c | 48.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…fe71backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…d9ecbacked Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 425 | 54.4%231 W · 194 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Under | 72c | 17.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…23f9backed Under | 72c | 17.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Austria won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.