TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,255 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc686…5a55backed Yes9c2,000$180 inLost-$18035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe174…084ebacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost-$107323.3%17 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes18c833.33$150 inLost-$15018742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b0…abafbacked Yes18c600.06$108 inLost-$108.013441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Yes18c560.29$100 inLost-$10011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4555…220cbacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Yes18c543.44$98 inLost-$97.8214317.5%25 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2888…0fe4backed Yes12c333$40 inLost-$39.965236.5%19 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Yes18c250.42$45 inLost-$45.085954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Yes20c227.95$46 inLost-$45.5918827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2735…8bcbbacked Yes14c211.39$29 inLost-$292015%3 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes12c210.32$24 inLost-$24.212,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost-$2024947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08b9…fd6ebacked Yes17c158.87$27 inLost-$26.827261.1%44 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf011…dc57backed Yes20c150$30 inLost-$304117.1%7 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-59.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No79c121.47$96 inWon+$25.862,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c18…6cc1backed Yes22c104.55$23 inLost-$23862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick36cpaid+57.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Yes18c100$18 inLost-$1832928%92 W · 237 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee3…b16bbacked Yes18c83.33$15 inLost-$153112.9%4 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab3d…89aebacked Yes18c76.67$14 inLost-$13.81428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae7…a8fbbacked Yes18c66.67$12 inLost-$12616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-73.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No79c54.35$43 inWon+$11.252,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost-$1015046.7%70 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a52…aa46backed Yes20c50$10 inLost-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost-$1222825.4%58 W · 170 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No79c18.57$15 inWon+$3.916564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.