TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spainof Spain, Austria
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,952,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,381,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,952,066 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Austria13c655,723$86,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,838.3233538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Austria12c374,540$44,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,944.89142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a2…5f83backed Austria14c319,678$44,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,754.93837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Austria13c235,526$30,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,073.4822139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Austria14c174,249$23,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,959.262646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed Austria13c148,899$18,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,982.759845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Austria14c123,388$17,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,448.277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Austria13c104,925$13,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,152.556546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Austria14c100,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,00022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Austria13c81,945$10,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,447.9718738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Austria13c56,494$7,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,188.911,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…62b5backed Austria13c53,248$6,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,870.164540%18 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Austria13c51,358$6,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,697.333,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Austria14c49,777$7,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,217.6623942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Austria13c49,219$6,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,184.572,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x950f…a521backed Austria7c48,371$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,160.141127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Austria13c47,758$6,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,062.0829952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Austria12c43,329$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.58932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Austria12c38,892$4,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,667.121444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Austria5c38,516$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.8115843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Austria12c29,400$3,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.520731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Austria15c29,304$4,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,252.6456541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Austria13c28,255$3,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,677.0874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked Austria12c25,705$3,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,127.33545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Austria5c24,212$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.7919738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Austria13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9747032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Austria13c19,500$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.9947144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Austria12c19,414$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.5417642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Austria13c18,850$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.0826534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Austria12c18,500$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.4947643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Austria4c18,164$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.6114715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed Austria5c18,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008037.5%30 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Austria13c18,000$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.9848441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Austria16c17,900$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.7529740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Austria12c16,875$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.867140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x797e…440bbacked Austria3c15,433$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.482412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Austria12c15,000$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.496819.1%13 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-52.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Austria5c14,953$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.531,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Austria10c14,890$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.214,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Austria13c14,400$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80544144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Austria12c13,380$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.1112536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b3d…b162backed Austria4c13,346$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.79120%0 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Austria12c12,245$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Austria13c12,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Austria14c10,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Austria12c10,000$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.996844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Austria13c10,000$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.491315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-69.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73a3…ee24backed Austria12c10,000$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.983215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Austria14c9,783$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.696016.7%10 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed Austria15c8,957$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.983036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Austria3c8,809$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.967126.8%19 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Austria13c8,800$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10547442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Austria12c8,160$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.64738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Austria12c7,919$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.231,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Austria3c7,592$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.958926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30e9…3224backed Austria13c7,512$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.43743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked Austria13c7,440$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.798450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7110…b042backed Austria14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d9…ecd7backed Austria14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Austria13c6,903$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.872,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Austria12c6,376$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.6224144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Austria11c6,322$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.2416927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Austria15c6,210$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.5620448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Austria15c5,899$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.785234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d3…804bbacked Austria4c5,000$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.59033.3%30 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Austria16c4,625$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.99150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f2…2523backed Austria3c4,617$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.517432.4%24 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Austria1c4,509$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510838%41 W · 67 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Austria13c4,444$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005947.5%28 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41cf…6002backed Austria6c4,403$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.22532%8 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Austria12c4,082$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002532%8 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Austria12c4,048$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.933,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Austria12c3,733$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.963762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+35%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Austria13c3,697$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.1313533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Austria12c3,667$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.692,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Austria12c3,667$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.862,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebf…d5a4backed Austria15c3,376$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.39714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-80%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Austria5c3,334$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.525719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Austria11c3,232$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.7929333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac3…bf4dbacked Austria13c3,080$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.285141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f93…c4d0backed Austria4c3,000$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddcd…725fbacked Austria1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30240%0 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c5…73cbbacked Austria14c2,954$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Austria14c2,950$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4137447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8706…f8ccbacked Austria14c2,893$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055516.4%9 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+76%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7961…6454backed Austria2c2,820$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Austria14c2,653$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.6910335%36 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked Austria12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007941.8%33 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Austria12c2,449$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007621.1%16 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Austria12c2,449$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009943.4%43 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Austria12c2,449$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Austria9c2,386$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.2410732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Austria13c2,301$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.623236.6%85 W · 147 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x530d…77f2backed Austria12c2,290$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.82441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked Austria12c2,280$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.39247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Austria11c2,250$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.756450%32 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Austria9c2,157$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.641,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Austria13c2,150$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d3…e394backed Austria12c2,090$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.83262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Austria5c2,072$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6631945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.