Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf19d17cc89d133123d96662c8fb9c2e08a380a32e806233bb8e0ccaaf7a2fdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spainof Spain, Austria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,952,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,381,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,952,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Austria | 13c | 655,723$86,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,838.32 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Austria | 12c | 374,540$44,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,944.8 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…5f83backed Austria | 14c | 319,678$44,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,754.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Austria | 13c | 235,526$30,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,073.48 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Austria | 14c | 174,249$23,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,959.26 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed Austria | 13c | 148,899$18,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,982.75 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Austria | 14c | 123,388$17,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,448.2 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Austria | 13c | 104,925$13,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,152.55 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Austria | 14c | 100,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Austria | 13c | 81,945$10,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,447.97 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Austria | 13c | 56,494$7,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,188.91 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…62b5backed Austria | 13c | 53,248$6,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,870.16 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Austria | 13c | 51,358$6,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,697.33 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Austria | 14c | 49,777$7,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,217.66 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Austria | 13c | 49,219$6,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,184.57 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950f…a521backed Austria | 7c | 48,371$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Austria | 13c | 47,758$6,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,062.08 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Austria | 12c | 43,329$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.5 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Austria | 12c | 38,892$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,667.1 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Austria | 5c | 38,516$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.81 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Austria | 12c | 29,400$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.5 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Austria | 15c | 29,304$4,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,252.64 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Austria | 13c | 28,255$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,677.08 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked Austria | 12c | 25,705$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.3 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked Austria | 5c | 24,212$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.79 | 197 | 38.1%75 W · 122 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Austria | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.97 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Austria | 13c | 19,500$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.99 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Austria | 12c | 19,414$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.54 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Austria | 13c | 18,850$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.08 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Austria | 12c | 18,500$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.49 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Austria | 4c | 18,164$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.61 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed Austria | 5c | 18,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Austria | 13c | 18,000$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.98 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Austria | 16c | 17,900$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.75 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Austria | 12c | 16,875$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.86 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…440bbacked Austria | 3c | 15,433$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.48 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked Austria | 12c | 15,000$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.49 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Austria | 5c | 14,953$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.53 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Austria | 10c | 14,890$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.21 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Austria | 13c | 14,400$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Austria | 12c | 13,380$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.11 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3d…b162backed Austria | 4c | 13,346$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.79 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Austria | 12c | 12,245$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Austria | 13c | 12,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Austria | 14c | 10,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Austria | 12c | 10,000$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.99 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Austria | 13c | 10,000$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.49 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…ee24backed Austria | 12c | 10,000$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.98 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Austria | 14c | 9,783$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.69 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Austria | 15c | 8,957$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.98 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Austria | 3c | 8,809$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.96 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Austria | 13c | 8,800$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 474 | 42.8%203 W · 271 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Austria | 12c | 8,160$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Austria | 12c | 7,919$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.23 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Austria | 3c | 7,592$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…3224backed Austria | 13c | 7,512$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.4 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Austria | 13c | 7,440$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.79 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7110…b042backed Austria | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d9…ecd7backed Austria | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Austria | 13c | 6,903$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.87 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Austria | 12c | 6,376$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.62 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Austria | 11c | 6,322$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.24 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Austria | 15c | 6,210$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.56 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Austria | 15c | 5,899$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.78 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…804bbacked Austria | 4c | 5,000$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Austria | 16c | 4,625$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.9 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…2523backed Austria | 3c | 4,617$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Austria | 1c | 4,509$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Austria | 13c | 4,444$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Austria | 6c | 4,403$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.2 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Austria | 12c | 4,082$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Austria | 12c | 4,048$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.93 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Austria | 12c | 3,733$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.96 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Austria | 13c | 3,697$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.13 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Austria | 12c | 3,667$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.69 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Austria | 12c | 3,667$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.86 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…d5a4backed Austria | 15c | 3,376$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -80%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Austria | 5c | 3,334$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 257 | 19.1%49 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Austria | 11c | 3,232$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.79 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…bf4dbacked Austria | 13c | 3,080$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.28 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…c4d0backed Austria | 4c | 3,000$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…725fbacked Austria | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…73cbbacked Austria | 14c | 2,954$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Austria | 14c | 2,950$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…f8ccbacked Austria | 14c | 2,893$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…6454backed Austria | 2c | 2,820$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Austria | 14c | 2,653$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.69 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Austria | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Austria | 12c | 2,449$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Austria | 12c | 2,449$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…79dbbacked Austria | 12c | 2,449$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed Austria | 9c | 2,386$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.24 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Austria | 13c | 2,301$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.6 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…77f2backed Austria | 12c | 2,290$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked Austria | 12c | 2,280$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Austria | 11c | 2,250$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.75 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Austria | 9c | 2,157$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.64 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Austria | 13c | 2,150$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…e394backed Austria | 12c | 2,090$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Austria | 5c | 2,072$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancethis page
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Austria won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.