TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$294,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,447 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c62,616$37,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,069.474,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over41c30,159$12,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,868.342,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over45c11,311$5,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,271.422,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c10,191$5,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,769.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over41c8,717$3,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,152.982,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over40c8,213$3,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,938.312,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under63c7,566$4,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,763.7540655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under62c7,034$4,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.383,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Over41c5,854$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,453.666633.3%22 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over48c5,358$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.624,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over39c4,924$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.6323942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c4,803$2,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,895.242,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Over54c4,462$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.413843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over63c4,028$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.586947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c3,667$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205.342,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over46c3,447$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.312,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Under59c3,424$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.931526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over46c3,367$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.0241331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under61c3,332$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.7846550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Over42c3,103$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.12828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under59c3,000$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.9933555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3a…e1c0backed Over39c2,841$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.85837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over30c2,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over41c1,800$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.771,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under62c1,670$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.921,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over52c1,657$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.528156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under61c1,501$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.5886452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505318.9%10 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c1,460$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under61c1,449$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.295037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under60c1,407$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.551,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over37c1,394$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.551,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over36c1,377$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.1613754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under61c1,377$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9759752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under36c1,357$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.942,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb5…0499backed Over37c1,350$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.492352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Under67c1,201$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81011357.5%65 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Under58c1,200$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.992548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6d…7aaebacked Over43c1,087$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.553630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.647560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Under60c1,013$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60811555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Under61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61012227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60058049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under62c999.99$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9912947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over36c982.4$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.9435244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over31c956.58$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.6449441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over38c950.14$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.472,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over54c942$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3265737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over32c900$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6127332.9%24 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Under59c800$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4725549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over40c755.67$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.663,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Under20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505223.1%12 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked Under20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Under20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under62c705$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.119750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Over40c696.84$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.118847.7%42 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb91…a3f4backed Over29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.667839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under69c657.57$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.91,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over80c597.45$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4985550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under23c588.68$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.852,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0432733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over39c555.55$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.349752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461e…5ce2backed Over38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.328540%34 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over30c521$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.5816725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8234537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over33c479$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.869573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd252…775bbacked Over42c471.24$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.556139.3%24 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over44c457.06$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.962,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf48…78e0backed Under68c442.15$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.66944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Over37c397.3$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.329341%120 W · 173 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Under76c394.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…14d2backed Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.374934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf6…cf40backed Over27c370$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.11266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+45.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over43c368$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8787237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over37c351.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.3511035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed Over43c345.35$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.856749.3%33 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under25c336.72$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6845145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over39c336.44$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.2372722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbafe…33a6backed Under60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004231%13 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18322731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed Under38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1148140.7%33 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7630…cfb0backed Over42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1743420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over34c294.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1134533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over58c292.51$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.191,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x553b…392ebacked Over53c273.58$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Over39c262.59$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1820025.5%51 W · 149 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4116136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf22…03ddbacked Under61c252.61$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Over39c252.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0815947.2%75 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over44c251.65$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.051,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15014323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42d4…7303backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8715…c5a0backed Under61c238.72$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d4d…fba6backed Under60c233.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14014239.4%56 W · 86 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3082…4a18backed Over42c231.74$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4110451%53 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cdc…3198backed Under59c225.66$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.141457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.223050%15 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over41c220.93$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1569744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.