TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb7b…eac6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
226
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT17459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 174 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$48.43
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.29
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$51.68
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$75.95
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$53.28
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$110.07
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$156.4
Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.4
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$491
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$545
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$162
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 174 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Will FC København win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
Will FK Auda win on 2026-08-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$128.64
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
FCI Levadia vs. IFK Göteborg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
Spread: FC Vaduz (-1.5)backed FC Vaduz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
FC København vs. FK Polissia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$38.19
FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$67.56
FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.6
FK Partizan Beograd vs. FC UNA Strassen: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$68.11
Will FCI Levadia win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$94.14
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.19
AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$47.41
AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$231.98
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$22.14
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$144.65
SK Iberia 1999 vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$50.57
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$51.97
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$60
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$32.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nice win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.