Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb326be18dc05d4aec001e34750edb915ff15048d51330a7deec4c5f921357e80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 5c | 2,705$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 2,283$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.21 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 2,005$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.3 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.53 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Over | 59c | 899.98$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Over | 34c | 823.53$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 52c | 637.13$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 516.04$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.93 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Under | 47c | 395.29$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 43c | 382.98$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 57c | 368.48$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.19 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 6c | 360$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 57c | 294.5$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.26 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 78c | 237.54$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 42c | 236.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…7b1abacked Over | 51c | 148.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 77c | 115.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 23c | 115.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 69c | 99.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…728fbacked Over | 79c | 84.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 77c | 64.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 240 | 49.2%118 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 21c | 59.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…e2d0backed Under | 39c | 48.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…2513backed Over | 65c | 28.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Under | 52c | 22.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…9535backed Over | 70c | 18.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: FC St. Gallen O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: FC St. Gallen O/U 2.5Under won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5Under won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC St. Gallen (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)FC St. Gallen won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)FC St. Gallen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.