TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,478 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c10,424$4,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,162.563,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under52c7,643$3,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,945.0310157.4%58 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over59c6,447$3,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.532,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over64c5,240$3,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.3716940.2%68 W · 101 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,589$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.899021.1%19 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick11cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over62c3,151$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.771,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under2c2,724$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.243724.3%9 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under36c2,577$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.6843344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over53c1,862$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.074946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over57c1,779$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.791457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over49c1,685$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.2917446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under55c1,443$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.63948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under36c1,280$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.6869448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under36c1,250$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.1166150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under38c1,246$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.478550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over62c972.35$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.522343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over61c820$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.82781.5%22 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under15c782.2$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.331,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over44c712.56$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.365358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under37c615.87$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.871,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c587.55$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.422,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under41c523.9$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5785260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Under37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+88.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over66c477.73$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3237750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over63c457.14$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.147560%45 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+77.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under63c428.57$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over63c383.04$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5865535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b29…e4b2backed Over63c345.68$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under50c325.42$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.852528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c306.24$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.912,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under48c300.24$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6429654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509431.9%30 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over64c297.75$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.192,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under20c281.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0781440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc35b…6eb2backed Over72c277$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.561060%6 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4078…eed8backed Over76c273.74$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.661181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under8c256.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0510627.4%29 W · 77 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x961c…9d72backed Under23c255.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.612142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under34c228.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.862944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over44c227.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.393138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under49c220.2$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5629337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under35c215.32$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2111839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0435…a10ebacked Under16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d2b…d9a5backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under25c157.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.716556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.258070%56 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under44c145$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4453564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.416443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c27…54f2backed Under37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over65c131.23$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.533446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over55c128$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c121.38$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.261,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under37c118.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2247649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under46c105.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7429959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf80…5993backed Over64c103.31$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7127846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under37c99.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4927545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over49c87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1327554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over63c85.31$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.87859%46 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3623949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under36c73.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.92812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-78.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over50c70.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4217855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under18c69.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1635146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under38c67.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under48c67.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.221936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under37c62.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2596947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under37c52.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2765549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.082420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-56.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over63c47.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8320660.2%124 W · 82 L-15.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under42c47.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.152937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.881060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Under31c46.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.144139%16 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under39c45.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0829470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.458062.5%50 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under42c44.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.496330.2%19 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd70f…38b1backed Over77c38.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcb…2fe3backed Over63c38.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over64c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under41c31.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.955971.2%42 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1372…4ce0backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over55c31.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0910344.7%46 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd89d…0842backed Under45c28.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x874d…7fd8backed Under53c28.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over49c27.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.923435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under37c27.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c7…216abacked Under54c25.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.9wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+105.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over44c22.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.742871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over70c21.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.512975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over55c21.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5717958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over74c20.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.214362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5caa…4831backed Over64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf20…8ae0backed Over62c19.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.59862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b22…d377backed Over59c17.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.37580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.