TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,616 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c10,431$6,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,262.143,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over22c5,509$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.152,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over12c4,768$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5805541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over32c4,013$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.131,61138.8%625 W · 986 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Over51c3,938$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002119%4 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-57.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under67c3,389$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.0211845.8%54 W · 64 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over44c2,028$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.981457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under58c1,812$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.952,17537.6%817 W · 1,358 L+4.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over3c1,749$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.982611.5%3 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under64c1,478$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.322528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Under60c1,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.332454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+41.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over36c1,226$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.862,47833.9%840 W · 1,638 L-95.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over45c958.62$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.4931430.3%95 W · 219 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over42c797.62$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over12c702.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.92,34441.6%976 W · 1,368 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…85fbbacked Under67c674.97$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.74875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d0…6732backed Under70c636.04$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.471154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under59c560.9$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7766250.6%335 W · 327 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over47c555.55$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.764654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under61c488.23$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0885260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81c…d3fabacked Over53c456.42$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.950%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed Under60c444$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+38.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under58c411.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6769548.9%340 W · 355 L+19.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over50c411.42$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.714341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under49c399.93$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.968446.4%39 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over38c395.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1696947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b7…a433backed Under62c395.16$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over46c393.45$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.878433.3%28 W · 56 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over12c388.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3579732.2%257 W · 540 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under60c346.91$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.071833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over42c345.24$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over8c314.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6327846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over42c292.05$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.663461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over19c287.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0333446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over49c269.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.291560%9 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+47.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under58c250.24$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.143344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over8c241.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4719848%95 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under47c220$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.61942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under74c215.81$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1129654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over37c211.19$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.146330.2%19 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa78d…130bbacked Over17c205.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466630.3%20 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under55c182.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0929337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over42c181.16$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3516940.2%68 W · 101 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over37c179.85$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6337750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over32c157.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9181440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under48c146.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.838540%34 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over37c135.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-80.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over9c135$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0578544.8%352 W · 433 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Under61c130.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.951662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+88.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over53c128$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.841637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Over39c125.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over8c125.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2945348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over41c112.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7965835.6%234 W · 424 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x961c…9d72backed Under68c105.22$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.132142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0653564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under51c96.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8129959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x704b…08b7backed Under56c89.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over34c86.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.594862.5%30 W · 18 L+10.5wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+82.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3624049.2%118 W · 122 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under73c79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under60c74.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0948249.8%240 W · 242 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f14…b567backed Under70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over28c70.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Over42c70.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.412615.4%4 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-66%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under62c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Over30c68.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.133951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under37c65.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.575538.2%21 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+108.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under61c53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.673661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under75c51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7550354.7%275 W · 228 L+19.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over52c50.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3926747.2%126 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over40c50.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.258461.9%52 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Under58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over52c49.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.993534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under61c47.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6829470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under47c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.852339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d09…a9c4backed Over39c38.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under53c35.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.675971.2%42 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under59c35.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5218449.5%91 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over44c35.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.42240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under54c33.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.482657.7%15 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over42c33.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1445135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5d…9bdcbacked Under60c31.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over60c29.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7711839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa92b…a4dcbacked Under71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd0…f308backed Over42c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under51c26.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9115544.5%69 W · 86 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under60c25.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1265549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.511168.5%76 W · 35 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Under53c24.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.643447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.85048%24 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under70c16.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.873773%27 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.