Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e549e75ec56d423c1e0bb1b2094dfbf7f41cd96763b8fed2756c8557ee2273f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb37c…7e53backed No | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 2,151$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.58 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153c…bf6abacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 54c | 920.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.73 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 644.48$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.86 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 593.12$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.59 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 55c | 549.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 505.12$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.3 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 351.02$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.71 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 49c | 289.37$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.58 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 44c | 216.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 77c | 212.87$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 46c | 100.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Yes | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 52c | 88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…2f7dbacked No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 23c | 58.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 54c | 57.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 53.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…121fbacked No | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 46c | 40.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 46c | 37.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e5…b4e9backed Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 25.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: FC St. Gallen O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: FC St. Gallen O/U 2.5Under won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5Under won
- FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC St. Gallen (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)FC St. Gallen won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)FC St. Gallen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.