TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x266c…6963

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
258
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Asian League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10154.5%55 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$121.13
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.76
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$79.87
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$58.02
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$73.47
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.31
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+209.6%+$137.73
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$52.32
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$189.73
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$93
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.13
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$52.48
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90.82
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT5360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$40.55
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$31.27
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+82%+$39.36
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.31
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$26.5
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.27
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.41
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.98
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.09
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.09
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.96
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+86%+$30.09
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$64.28
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$40.35
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT5341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.15
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.85
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$73.4
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$46
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$58
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$15.73
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$16.82
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+139.1%+$44.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.72
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-65.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$45.8
Gangwon FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 12 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+135.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.