MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf6ac151502bfc93aad13860a8d37037e2fa51db05b093a07389996d2e0d70e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Philadelphia Phillies, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1317…d0e9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 8,483$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Mets | 62c | 4,854$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.33 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 4,346$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.28 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 69c | 4,092$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.43 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 61c | 2,771$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.73 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed New York Mets | 62c | 2,612$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.71 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 2,548$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.81 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 61c | 2,518$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.8 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 2,130$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.55 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 62c | 2,110$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.79 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 63c | 1,330$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.9 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 1,051$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.06 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 840.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.65 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 817.76$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.15 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 799.61$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 751.44$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 61c | 743.46$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.95 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 702.13$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.58 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Mets | 60c | 594$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.41 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 61c | 585$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.15 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 64c | 533.79$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.55 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…8595backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 520.08$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fda…b819backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 519.63$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 517.95$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 494.42$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 67c | 444.96$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed New York Mets | 71c | 432.13$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets | 62c | 428.54$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.23 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 68c | 411.28$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 363.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed New York Mets | 73c | 317.4$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed New York Mets | 61c | 311.3$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 289.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 78c | 289.06$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 285.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Mets | 75c | 251.28$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…f23cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 247.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 64c | 236.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 212.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed New York Mets | 62c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked New York Mets | 60c | 197.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 69c | 173.05$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed New York Mets | 70c | 146.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 70c | 129.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets | 61c | 127$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Mets | 71c | 121.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed New York Mets | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 118.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed New York Mets | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed New York Mets | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 96.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 95.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 92.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 87.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 80.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…30a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 79.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 77.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad2…5dfebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 76.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed New York Mets | 75c | 74.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed New York Mets | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed New York Mets | 63c | 52.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 51.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 50.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed New York Mets | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed New York Mets | 74c | 44.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…0b7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 43.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 41.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed New York Mets | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked New York Mets | 67c | 36.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 31.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed New York Mets | 73c | 30.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked New York Mets | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…93afbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 28.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 420 | 41.9%176 W · 244 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed New York Mets | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed New York Mets | 76c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed New York Mets | 63c | 26.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…6e88backed New York Mets | 65c | 20.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed New York Mets | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)New York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNew York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 3.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.