MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6461822f1bbace2890f5fd5678a505734e6e6a3cb3c7f9d7198506219b52d769

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: New York Metsof New York Mets, Philadelphia Phillies
Resolved: Jul 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,418 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies	65c	14,996$9,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,675.34	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed New York Mets	36c	13,729$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,729.23	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies	63c	8,682$5,439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,438.6	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets	37c	6,502$2,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,116	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	4,139$2,649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,648.64	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets	36c	4,110$1,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,619.73	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed New York Mets	77c	3,970$3,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.01	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+57.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets	29c	3,137$902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,234.77	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets	39c	2,295$904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,391.01	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Philadelphia Phillies	64c	2,036$1,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,304.32	340	44.4%151 W · 189 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	1,578$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.92	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies	64c	1,024$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.36	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	1,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.75	297	52.5%156 W · 141 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies	44c	900$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec11…953fbacked New York Mets	45c	865.04$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.77	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed New York Mets	35c	792.13$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.94	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Mets	34c	789.79$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.41	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies	56c	775.95$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.9	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies	65c	769$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.85	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies	69c	723.71$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.09	55	70.9%39 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed New York Mets	35c	687.01$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.94	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies	63c	632.95$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.09	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies	65c	627.79$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.57	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Philadelphia Phillies	65c	600$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	1,206	53.7%648 W · 558 L	+29.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c6…bc1cbacked Philadelphia Phillies	69c	530.96$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed New York Mets	30c	481.97$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.38	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Philadelphia Phillies	65c	431.46$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.45	181	57.5%104 W · 77 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	390$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.6	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets	34c	361.27$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.91	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed New York Mets	35c	314.31$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.3	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked New York Mets	32c	206.55$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.49	450	45.8%206 W · 244 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked New York Mets	30c	180.95$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.66	167	46.7%78 W · 89 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies	61c	169$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.09	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets	77c	160.62$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.15	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Philadelphia Phillies	65c	153.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	529	47.4%251 W · 278 L	-24.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed New York Mets	34c	143.44$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.67	295	49.8%147 W · 148 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Philadelphia Phillies	65c	131.28$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.33	171	55%94 W · 77 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed New York Mets	36c	129.72$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.02	689	42.2%291 W · 398 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Philadelphia Phillies	42c	114.77$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.52	248	43.5%108 W · 140 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed New York Mets	49c	109.48$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.98	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Philadelphia Phillies	69c	100.31$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.16	746	57.8%431 W · 315 L	-9.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Philadelphia Phillies	67c	100.01$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.61	130	54.6%71 W · 59 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed New York Mets	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed New York Mets	45c	97.96$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.28	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Philadelphia Phillies	69c	96$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.68	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Philadelphia Phillies	66c	94.85$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.6	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed New York Mets	49c	93.52$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.23	1,195	50%597 W · 598 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed New York Mets	33c	82.23$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.29	528	52.1%275 W · 253 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed New York Mets	39c	82$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.93	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked New York Mets	34c	79.35$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.45	1,814	49.1%891 W · 923 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies	72c	78$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.13	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets	30c	71$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.7	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked New York Mets	25c	70$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Philadelphia Phillies	27c	68.47$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.49	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed New York Mets	49c	59.04$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.82	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7f…6b36backed New York Mets	33c	57.99$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.01	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc95d…d369backed New York Mets	33c	57.01$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.97	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked New York Mets	34c	53.21$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.12	412	36.7%151 W · 261 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked New York Mets	36c	51$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.64	131	53.4%70 W · 61 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…ceafbacked Philadelphia Phillies	65c	46.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	226	53.1%120 W · 106 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Philadelphia Phillies	46c	45.04$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.72	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed New York Mets	43c	43.5$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.87	407	53.3%217 W · 190 L	+9.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed New York Mets	55c	39.89$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.14	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Philadelphia Phillies	35c	39.19$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.71	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies	66c	39.18$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.7	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd95…143fbacked Philadelphia Phillies	30c	34.9$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a3…d760backed New York Mets	36c	30.56$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.56	244	44.7%109 W · 135 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed New York Mets	35c	30.45$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.88	536	44.6%239 W · 297 L	-11.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed New York Mets	35c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	1,753	50.8%890 W · 863 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed New York Mets	34c	30$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	348	43.4%151 W · 197 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed New York Mets	51c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.35	830	53%440 W · 390 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Philadelphia Phillies	65c	28.43$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.44	1,245	56.9%708 W · 537 L	+31.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Philadelphia Phillies	45c	26.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.87	1,056	44.3%468 W · 588 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Philadelphia Phillies	69c	26.08$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…7ab1backed Philadelphia Phillies	54c	25.88$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Philadelphia Phillies	67c	22.44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	404	47.8%193 W · 211 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked New York Mets	57c	18.1$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Philadelphia Phillies	67c	17.95$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	639	54.5%348 W · 291 L	+14.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked New York Mets	62c	17.31$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.58	292	50.7%148 W · 144 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Philadelphia Phillies	64c	16.85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	172	55.8%96 W · 76 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e03…fd0dbacked Philadelphia Phillies	66c	15.38$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.31per pick	53cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b92…93afbacked Philadelphia Phillies	69c	15.22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	420	41.9%176 W · 244 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31e0…1d15backed Philadelphia Phillies	69c	15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	72cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets	80c	13.3$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.66	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)this page
1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)New York Mets won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNew York Mets won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 3.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)New York Mets won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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