MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ddde239577983a2f2459bbac7d41739602f154f17d1ee08a0d5df5397af4b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 50c | 82,130$41,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,827.51 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 51c | 27,495$14,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,472.46 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 49c | 13,705$6,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,715.26 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 50c | 10,500$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Under | 63c | 10,150$6,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.12 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 9,277$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.83 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 38c | 8,028$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.44 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 52c | 7,827$4,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.77 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 5,293$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 4,304$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.8 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 18c | 3,619$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.68 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 3,140$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.95 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed Over | 38c | 2,509$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Under | 72c | 2,314$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.36 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 49c | 2,033$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.96 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 32c | 1,335$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.75 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 21c | 1,198$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 1,145$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.67 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 25c | 1,127$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.36 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 19c | 1,098$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.84 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0508…6035backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 50c | 1,002$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.88 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Over | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over | 26c | 987.04$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.88 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Under | 71c | 951.98$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.18 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 773$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.77 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 50c | 758.52$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.26 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 755.55$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 23c | 738.95$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 50c | 541.8$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 5cpaid | +411.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6d…33e2backed Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 5cpaid | +259.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 411.38$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 374.94$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.72 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…4261backed Under | 51c | 374.28$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.39 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…bed6backed Under | 51c | 333.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 23c | 333.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 45c | 328.1$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.65 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 75c | 321.28$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 21c | 291$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Over | 33c | 237.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 224.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…4907backed Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 50c | 193.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.61 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 190.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 46c | 182.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 54c | 180.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 50c | 158.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 138.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 49c | 138$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Under | 50c | 136.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 44c | 135.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 50c | 119.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 11c | 116.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 12c | 110.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Under | 76c | 110.05$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Over | 34c | 102.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 37c | 101$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…5019backed Over | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…3eefbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 95.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Under | 51c | 95.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Over | 17c | 92.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 53c | 91.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…5495backed Under | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Over | 50c | 62.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 48c | 62.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Over | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 49c | 54.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)New York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNew York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 3.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.