MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65670c7c4f3f691833e48aabc9937abb59c92d6c43d6e896ae8cc011870fc166
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,950,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,849,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,950,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 540 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked New York Mets | 46c | 750,000$342,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407,699.89 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 500,592$273,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273,864.11 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Mets | 47c | 482,584$226,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256,054.32 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 285,000$152,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,006.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed New York Mets | 47c | 145,518$68,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,313.76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 141,289$65,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,128.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 123,070$54,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,973.38 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 65c | 55,903$36,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,623.43 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 46c | 44,174$20,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,765.71 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 30,000$13,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,409.81 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed New York Mets | 49c | 25,533$12,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,009.11 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets | 46c | 24,833$11,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,350.1 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…d591backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 22,036$9,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,930.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 22,000$12,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,158.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 20,919$10,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,661.23 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 20,448$10,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,837.44 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 18,615$9,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,865.79 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 18,000$6,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,984 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 15,958$8,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,738.8 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 15,682$8,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,156.92 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 15,000$8,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,698.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed New York Mets | 55c | 14,443$7,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,484.37 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 14,157$7,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,744 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 12,209$6,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,330.92 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked New York Mets | 45c | 11,078$5,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,048.57 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 10,478$5,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,543 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed New York Mets | 63c | 10,000$6,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked New York Mets | 11c | 9,873$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,823.26 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.33per pick | 22cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 9,452$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed New York Mets | 56c | 8,955$4,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,967.03 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc5…4ba1backed New York Mets | 7c | 8,251$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,651.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +964.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8f…b9b2backed New York Mets | 10c | 8,028$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,227.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 22cpaid | +366.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6214…c4a0backed New York Mets | 10c | 8,028$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,227.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.57per pick | 23cpaid | +349.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee6…a1efbacked New York Mets | 10c | 8,028$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,227.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +524%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…6ea0backed New York Mets | 11c | 7,451$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,650.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +678.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d4…364fbacked New York Mets | 11c | 7,451$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,650.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +831.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…25c4backed New York Mets | 7c | 7,315$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,834.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +408%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked New York Mets | 46c | 7,114$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.92 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 60c | 6,612$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.25 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed New York Mets | 46c | 6,569$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.04 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked New York Mets | 47c | 6,400$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.6 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked New York Mets | 10c | 6,100$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,495.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 19cpaid | +281.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…f1b6backed New York Mets | 10c | 6,000$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,403 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +235%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…44bbbacked New York Mets | 10c | 6,000$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,403 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +402.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11dd…f832backed New York Mets | 10c | 6,000$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,403 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +402.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…dcfabacked New York Mets | 12c | 6,000$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,294 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +251.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…339cbacked New York Mets | 7c | 5,779$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,378.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +261.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4d…3ac6backed New York Mets | 7c | 5,779$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,378.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +261.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd58…f7b5backed New York Mets | 7c | 5,779$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,378.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,344.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd6…9efebacked New York Mets | 7c | 5,500$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,117 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,336%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…c6dbbacked New York Mets | 10c | 5,500$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,964 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 12cpaid | +490.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…a222backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 5,470$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 5,413$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.19 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 5,285$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.05 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed New York Mets | 45c | 5,149$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.16 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked New York Mets | 7c | 5,000$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,637 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,277.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…6b15backed New York Mets | 9c | 5,000$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,543 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +264.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 4,997$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.46 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…918dbacked New York Mets | 10c | 4,992$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,491.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +591.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c1…4114backed New York Mets | 6c | 4,918$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,618.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +912%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7b…d719backed New York Mets | 6c | 4,918$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,618.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +719.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked New York Mets | 6c | 4,918$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,618.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +719.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…0836backed New York Mets | 6c | 4,918$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,618.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +446.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…6209backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 4,750$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…15d8backed New York Mets | 46c | 4,716$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…7fadbacked New York Mets | 11c | 4,600$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,112.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +729.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked New York Mets | 10c | 4,571$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.63per pick | 12cpaid | +473.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…b35cbacked New York Mets | 10c | 4,571$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d2…399bbacked New York Mets | 10c | 4,571$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…fd69backed New York Mets | 10c | 4,571$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb9…2ed5backed New York Mets | 12c | 4,500$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +726.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…d3e3backed New York Mets | 12c | 4,500$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +726.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed New York Mets | 45c | 4,435$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.22 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7575…10dabacked New York Mets | 10c | 4,393$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +343.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eef…e72cbacked New York Mets | 10c | 4,393$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +399.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…f729backed New York Mets | 46c | 4,222$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed New York Mets | 16c | 4,208$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.52 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 58c | 4,187$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…3b85backed New York Mets | 46c | 4,172$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…84f4backed New York Mets | 7c | 4,118$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,370.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked New York Mets | 46c | 4,000$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a9…af78backed New York Mets | 11c | 4,000$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.60per pick | 20cpaid | +338.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 3,976$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.32 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…7449backed New York Mets | 14c | 3,930$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +178.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…7ac6backed New York Mets | 14c | 3,930$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +187%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…6539backed New York Mets | 14c | 3,930$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.58per pick | 25cpaid | +268.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…b7d3backed New York Mets | 14c | 3,930$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…d580backed New York Mets | 14c | 3,930$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…bfafbacked New York Mets | 14c | 3,930$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…bbfcbacked New York Mets | 14c | 3,930$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…5488backed New York Mets | 14c | 3,930$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…ec06backed New York Mets | 14c | 3,930$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.48per pick | 24cpaid | +244.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Mets | 47c | 3,866$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.9 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3495…dca1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 3,797$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 3,731$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.55 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 3,723$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.48 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed New York Mets | 45c | 3,716$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.65 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 3,638$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)New York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 3.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.