TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeaac…44bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+117.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England to score first vs. France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.93
France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+604.2%+$1,715.99
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
France to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$564.26
Norway to score first vs. England?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
England to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+900%+$1,350
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$261
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+525%+$504
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.63
All 14 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+402.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+905%+$5,403
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.01
Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+525%+$292.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Cesar Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$710
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major League Cricket: Mi New York vs Seattle Orcasbacked Seattle Orcas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.