TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

MŠK Žilina vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,969
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,969 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c6,127$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.529954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999d…a1e1backed Over51c6,033$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,956.251361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Under2c6,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under8c3,346$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.7132436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under3c2,979$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.363724.3%9 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c2,469$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.043,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under69c1,783$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.654223.8%10 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c1,436$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.971,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5277…b271backed Over47c1,420$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.38944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick27cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over42c1,100$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63811127%30 W · 81 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under67c1,056$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.3911645.7%53 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under56c883.11$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.344654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over50c753.56$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7827545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under62c638$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.1535146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over55c607.98$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.592871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under51c593.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005030%15 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under61c510.99$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.215850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e68…fcb9backed Over34c485.89$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.941060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over31c484.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.414082.5%33 W · 7 L+11.3wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+65.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xdd30…6b15backed Under15c476.73$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Over30c470.88$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.061030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over59c462.68$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.241,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under12c442$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7210627.4%29 W · 77 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Under50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under10c401$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8978344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38bd…b8f3backed Under50c400.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.11353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under4c356.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8318244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under47c353.38$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5896947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under40c351$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.42835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over40c345.36$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4615628.2%44 W · 112 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over49c307.75$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9520050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under37c301.92$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6979532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under11c280$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6100%0 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over56c264.13$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.165149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under57c235.09$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1342142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x961c…9d72backed Over60c232.81$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.192142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Under60c215.85$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308124.7%20 W · 61 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over51c211.94$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.264953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over47c209$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.771822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+63.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over53c208.91$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over33c197.66$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5617941.9%75 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over33c197.36$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.363237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over59c189.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5319848%95 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over59c184.53$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4537750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over55c177.43$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.843375.8%25 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd010…2ee6backed Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under59c158.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8285260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over69c150.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.41977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under71c135.24$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.573253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Under76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-65.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c128$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0617233.7%58 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over35c115.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.791931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under41c112.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.452,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Under37c109.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.614348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Under50c102.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.28825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434967.3%33 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over50c98.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1313050%65 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…44bbbacked Under14c90.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over56c88.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.727846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over53c86.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0565535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under37c86.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.975933.9%20 W · 39 L-8.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.858551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over50c78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.951,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Over73c72.69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.69650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under27c67.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2197346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc59c…6b58backed Over52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.311361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over51c66.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3923950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under49c63.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.027755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over41c50.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.772740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under50c49.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4811650.9%59 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under41c45.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910344.7%46 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Over73c41.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.082277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over41c40.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.83625%9 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over51c39.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.351770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.465752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Over30c38.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.561040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under50c34.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0544156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3d…61febacked Under45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce80…c5efbacked Under32c32.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+361%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.253246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a18…a0f3backed Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa958…8cf5backed Under69c28.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.326647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb651…b4f7backed Over50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2272…95a2backed Over51c24.73$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over65c19.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6756849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under58c17.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.452528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under56c17.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104070%28 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+38.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.