MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b19c4e372a4ba29d3771e180c4d10d28fa5aab96a0588aa974afe42e5dc2b0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $447,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $558,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 57c | 160,686$91,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,592.23 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 98,880$48,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,585.29 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 23,269$16,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,702.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 50c | 15,380$7,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,637.32 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -17.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Over | 46c | 15,209$6,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,994.7 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 66c | 11,356$7,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.15 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 7,248$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.27 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.98 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 6,615$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.35 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 37c | 4,473$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.87 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 51c | 3,806$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.18 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 72c | 3,412$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.39 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Under | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…44bbbacked Over | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +402.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…dcfabacked Over | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +251.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…f1b6backed Over | 15c | 1,684$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +235%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Under | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 71c | 795.58$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.71 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d2…399bbacked Over | 15c | 666.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 62c | 664.38$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 37c | 629.38$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 625.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 29c | 604.82$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.42 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 583$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 37c | 582.96$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.7 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Over | 56c | 538.78$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.99 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 44c | 497$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.65 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 40c | 492.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.14 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 80c | 480.46$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 43c | 450.49$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.74 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 45c | 414.82$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.67 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…d276backed Under | 75c | 406.13$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Under | 74c | 405.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 70 | 80%56 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…2d0bbacked Under | 45c | 396$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 52c | 388$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.24 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…d143backed Over | 52c | 376.68$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebbe…04b0backed Under | 66c | 332.38$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…4d66backed Over | 48c | 311.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed Under | 63c | 309.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 252.02$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 42c | 229.37$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 43c | 223.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 53c | 215.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.09 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Under | 56c | 199.93$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 198.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…4dccbacked Under | 46c | 195.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 49c | 194.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Under | 49c | 166.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 38c | 145.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 38c | 142.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 52c | 136.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 49c | 133.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 64c | 118$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 48c | 113.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 43c | 111.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Over | 22c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 48c | 106.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 103.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Over | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 77c | 102.38$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 54c | 101.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 101.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…ad97backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 64c | 99.41$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Over | 48c | 98.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 49c | 96.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Under | 55c | 91.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 40c | 86.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 64c | 85.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 38c | 79.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 46c | 70.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Over | 38c | 68.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 47c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 52c | 62.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Under | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 57c | 54.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Over | 37c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 37c | 46.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 66c | 41.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…a2bfbacked Under | 53c | 40.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 40.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 36.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.