MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x614cc40c73e8f2f421d771bb0b3a18783891ad93bfa4ed379b5f8880511bee29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Los Angeles Dodgers, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 14,469$8,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,854.36 | 238 | 54.6%130 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 6,905$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,211.66 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 5,160$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.75 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 3,272$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.13 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,255$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.88 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,205$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.94 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 2,080$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.35 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 2,017$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.46 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,958$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.79 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 1,872$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.65 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…1c90backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 982.96$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.23 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 771.52$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.05 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 670.67$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.15 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 658.98$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.67 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 623.08$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 594.86$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.43 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…4dfcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 442$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.18 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 320$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 305.51$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 303.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7844…24dfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 212.23$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 197.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 186.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 186$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 169.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 169.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 162$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 151.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 151$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 151$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 140.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 107.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 107.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 106.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa214…0653backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 100.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 94.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 93.47$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 91.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 82.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 78c | 78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 77.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 76.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 72.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 18c | 71.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 68.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 67.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 56.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ae…2103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 41.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 40.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 308 | 48.1%148 W · 160 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…12f1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 35.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 34.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…967cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 31.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 30.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ee…c9cdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 30.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833e…fea3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…f14cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 26.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 26.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 25.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4675…b0d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 25.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…190ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 25.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 220 | 64.1%141 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 24.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…faeebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…3a5cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 20.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.