TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x528a…12f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
231
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT7143.7%31 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.27
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+127%+$87.68
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.79
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$48.34
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$120.26
Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$52.93
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.58
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$75.27
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$73.2
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.47
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+229.7%+$38.98
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$18.11
Valorant: A Team vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.68
Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.08
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs REBORN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.17
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs REBORN - Map 1 Winnerbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.04
Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.57
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.56
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.35
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.7
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife - Map 1 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$56.1
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$115.49
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.47
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5747.4%27 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.1
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.69
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.28
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$66.3
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+176.5%+$236.19
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.6
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$41.03
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.15
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$96.27
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+202.5%+$117.44
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$122.57
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$92.41
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.62
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.37
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.67
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$88.97
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$118.55
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$49.49
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$31.01
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.33
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.18
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$89.8
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$95.81
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.47
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.91
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.64
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.93
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$81.78
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.92
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.21
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.9
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.49
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$128.65
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.3
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.94
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$60.31
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$70.11
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$38.72
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$69
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$91.18
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.08
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$121.8
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+138.5%+$63.48
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$24.19
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$23.06
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.38
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+352.9%+$290.16
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.29
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.46
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$80.28
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$67.67
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$35.43
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.55
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.13
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.77
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.98
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$87.9
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$49.15
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$52
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.81
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.64
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.95
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+101%+$15.74
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.77
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.69
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.82
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.6
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$106.34
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$44.94
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.23
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.23
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$53.37
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.8
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.85
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.08
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.89
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.29
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.92
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92%+$25.42
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+49.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$29.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$27.34
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shymkent 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alexandr Bindabacked Alexandr Binda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$40.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$75.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.