TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Knicks, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Grizzlies49c106,539$52,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,335.0515952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Knicks51c68,166$34,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,762.3660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies45c27,553$12,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,023.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Knicks61c14,522$8,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,786.9442348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks51c13,540$6,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,905.331,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb41…cf30backed Knicks56c13,500$7,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,559.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Grizzlies45c10,518$4,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,793.471,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks49c9,902$4,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,891.972,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Knicks54c8,082$4,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,376.413642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies45c7,123$3,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.742,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks51c6,795$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,465.351,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Knicks51c6,756$3,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,445.7427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x816e…b215backed Knicks51c6,661$3,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,397.12433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks51c6,115$3,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,118.541,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks52c4,938$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,570.4490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies50c4,530$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.1472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies47c4,428$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.124,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Grizzlies51c3,882$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.3847748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies50c3,395$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.558740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies48c2,415$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.822,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Knicks51c2,246$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.6558953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Grizzlies49c2,024$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.571,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks51c1,814$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.176,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Knicks51c1,383$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.0318648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Knicks52c1,272$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.1771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies34c1,215$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Knicks32c1,183$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.4418235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Grizzlies48c1,085$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.221,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked Knicks51c1,014$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies51c966.08$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.374,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Grizzlies49c885.48$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.620051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Knicks51c833.06$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.8689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked Grizzlies51c761.25$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.016266.1%41 W · 21 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Knicks51c679.42$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.525155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Knicks51c671.55$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.3641947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Knicks51c666.52$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7830453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Knicks51c653.53$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.3948751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Knicks60c651.75$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.3943269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Knicks78c634.72$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.3220963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Knicks51c619.41$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.922552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Knicks51c585.79$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7542352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks52c579.83$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.511,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks51c522.85$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6757650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Grizzlies46c488.33$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.71,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Knicks51c427.78$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Knicks51c422.5$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4710945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Grizzlies48c399.88$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.11,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Grizzlies45c395.51$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.841,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Knicks51c390.98$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.467751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Knicks51c388.24$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1987346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Knicks53c387.05$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.91,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Knicks51c348.85$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9120443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Knicks50c324.77$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3968645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Knicks51c266.61$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1112650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e23…9722backed Knicks51c247.73$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.343237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Knicks51c245.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4531354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies41c229.06$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.072,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Knicks51c226.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.767455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Knicks52c221.38$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1610436.5%38 W · 66 L-9.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Grizzlies44c220.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.151,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Knicks56c203.02$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5491746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Knicks56c201.81$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0138853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Knicks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Knicks49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Grizzlies46c197.81$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10733360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Knicks49c195.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9766046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Grizzlies47c194.03$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Grizzlies50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies47c191.6$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.743,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Knicks51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0637852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Knicks51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0651647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Grizzlies41c183.24$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Knicks52c178.68$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5e…1a04backed Knicks56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.366162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Knicks51c169.86$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6361957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Grizzlies46c169.5$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Knicks51c160.45$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8330654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdb…02c3backed Knicks51c160.34$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.776259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Grizzlies49c159.95$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5832653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Knicks75c157.6$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.210850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Knicks51c147.07$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7535052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies34c146.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.743,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x059b…2e07backed Knicks52c137.07$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.682250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Knicks52c131.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9117852.2%93 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc2e1…4925backed Knicks51c117.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0317057.1%97 W · 73 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96df…00a3backed Knicks52c112.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.133537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3edb…aa1ebacked Knicks51c112.59$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.424240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Knicks48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4411045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Knicks50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Knicks51c99.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5725855.8%144 W · 114 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Knicks51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5319851%101 W · 97 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…54d1backed Knicks54c93.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.946654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d32…8212backed Knicks51c81.37$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5166.3%1 W · 15 L-6.3wins-0.39per pick46cpaid-87.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Knicks55c78.61$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8757550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Grizzlies50c77.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.895260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4624…ec09backed Knicks51c73.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.661662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Knicks52c73.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5322746.3%105 W · 122 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41c0…9d61backed Knicks51c71.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2112155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbee9…3143backed Knicks56c69.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.94825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc94…9954backed Knicks52c66.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3615756.7%89 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.