NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5f7cf4d9aeffcc1636c182d48ea81648b9f683854c9fe17e89d6cafff855441
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 5,568$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 48c | 5,237$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.18 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Under | 52c | 4,870$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.55 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 4,822$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.3 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 48c | 3,120$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.22 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Over | 52c | 2,232$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.27 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Over | 53c | 2,215$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.85 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 1,990$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.63 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa7…cac8backed Under | 50c | 1,624$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 49c | 1,620$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.78 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 50c | 1,560$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.02 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 54c | 907.93$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.18 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 53c | 892.57$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.93 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 881.89$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.96 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 54c | 797.37$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.58 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 54c | 642.97$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.21 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 500.51$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 471.74$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Over | 52c | 464.96$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.13 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 428.19$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed Under | 52c | 427.33$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.21 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 52c | 372.11$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.86 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 52c | 336.95$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.21 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 52c | 280.11$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 52c | 219.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 217.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 208.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 56c | 199.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Over | 52c | 187.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 44c | 186.87$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 52c | 170.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 53c | 165.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 51c | 164.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 52c | 161.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 52c | 156.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 129.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 48c | 124.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 53c | 110.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 53c | 110.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 108$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…e9f2backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Under | 49c | 79.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 67.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Over | 53c | 64.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 64.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 64.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Over | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…c307backed Over | 52c | 50.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 46c | 42.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Over | 52c | 39.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…fd56backed Under | 50c | 37.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 52c | 37.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 37.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 48c | 33.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 26.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 50c | 22.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 53c | 22.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1730…d6efbacked Under | 55c | 22.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Knicks vs. GrizzliesKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.