TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Grizzlies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$975,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$975,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $975,245 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies13c304,199$39,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,545.8372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Grizzlies13c87,482$10,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,975.025655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies11c27,129$2,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,984.21,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Grizzlies0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x184f…389ebacked Grizzlies11c20,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.993158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+25.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Grizzlies12c16,793$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.1722453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Grizzlies7c9,557$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.016841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Grizzlies13c9,332$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.1337448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67d5…e577backed Grizzlies13c9,066$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.54812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Grizzlies7c9,056$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.8111335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x803e…2059backed Grizzlies11c8,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.971942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies0c7,450$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.68820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies11c6,931$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.381,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Grizzlies13c6,318$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.3441832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Grizzlies11c6,308$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.1929250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Grizzlies14c4,742$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.8847748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies2c4,518$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.491,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Grizzlies13c4,140$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.2127241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Grizzlies12c3,789$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.6648054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e2…6aa9backed Grizzlies11c3,300$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3631040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies13c2,843$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.6458740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies6c2,793$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.812,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9848…f70ebacked Grizzlies11c2,784$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Grizzlies12c2,763$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5211235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Grizzlies6c2,580$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grizzlies3c2,572$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.331,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Grizzlies11c2,220$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.213435.8%48 W · 86 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Grizzlies11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Grizzlies12c1,894$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3346632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49e5…03fdbacked Grizzlies1c1,776$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-89.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a70…5882backed Grizzlies7c1,724$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.87496.1%3 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Grizzlies10c1,633$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0319547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Grizzlies13c1,611$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4621649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Grizzlies6c1,573$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.363324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Grizzlies3c1,563$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7818235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Grizzlies4c1,493$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Grizzlies4c1,483$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5115252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Grizzlies13c1,369$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6524247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Grizzlies11c1,335$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8254838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Grizzlies6c1,332$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.775520%11 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Grizzlies11c1,263$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9830947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Grizzlies13c1,145$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.912740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Grizzlies10c1,143$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.023554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies4c1,065$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.572,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Grizzlies6c1,054$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8427247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Grizzlies3c1,005$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5336023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Grizzlies4c1,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.555316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Grizzlies7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Grizzlies1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Grizzlies8c914.74$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.891,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Grizzlies9c880.16$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.215463%34 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70b0…4824backed Grizzlies2c853$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4550%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Grizzlies9c807.12$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6510225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0531…3770backed Grizzlies11c795.14$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.471533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Grizzlies11c777.16$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.491,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Grizzlies2c768.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf41…bfd4backed Grizzlies11c760$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.610245.1%46 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Grizzlies8c721.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0742335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Grizzlies4c701.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0412227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Grizzlies7c691.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.43627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Grizzlies10c685.1$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.267115.5%11 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Grizzlies14c677.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.84185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Grizzlies7c673.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3126824.6%66 W · 202 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f61…ea25backed Grizzlies11c662.62$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.892045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dd…3c69backed Grizzlies12c655.86$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee5c…2775backed Grizzlies12c641.97$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.041520%3 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-68.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Grizzlies5c622.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1633139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe39a…da0bbacked Grizzlies12c599.66$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.964420.5%9 W · 35 L-7.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-57.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Grizzlies12c568.32$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.226530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Grizzlies5c544.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3863142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies12c513.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.672,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed77…bde0backed Grizzlies6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304932.7%16 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed Grizzlies12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606132.8%20 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Grizzlies11c499.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.553939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Grizzlies8c497.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0224937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies4c483.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.828,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies7c480$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.281,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16f7…171fbacked Grizzlies10c473.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.631323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Grizzlies11c473.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0633344.1%147 W · 186 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed Grizzlies3c470.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.665119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60f1…06e1backed Grizzlies11c470$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Grizzlies10c444.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.778942.7%38 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…9837backed Grizzlies13c428$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.646625.8%17 W · 49 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a4…8a9abacked Grizzlies13c408.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.081250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e29…4a2ebacked Grizzlies13c397.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.711435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8072…0ef3backed Grizzlies12c394.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.364623.9%11 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Grizzlies12c394.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3618534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies11c377.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.562,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fbf…bcabbacked Grizzlies11c367.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4213951.8%72 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies13c364.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.391,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b5…7e1cbacked Grizzlies13c364.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.394843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Grizzlies12c362.27$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.471,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a83…635bbacked Grizzlies9c357.36$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.162842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd831…30c1backed Grizzlies11c344.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.862433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Grizzlies13c337.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8453348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Grizzlies13c337.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.845048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Grizzlies10c328.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.686547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9368…483fbacked Grizzlies5c325.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.141040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Grizzlies10c325.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.828544.7%38 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8803…cd6ebacked Grizzlies11c315.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.675824.1%14 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.