TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8803…cd6e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT8145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.42
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$262.55
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$128.1
Stars vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$187.6
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$290
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$355
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.8
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$240.24
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$190.72
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$148.8
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$315
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.2
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$127.44
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$61.71
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT5824.1%14 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.82
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.71
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.83
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$407.81
Bucks vs. Rocketsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$307.71
Knicks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.67
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.18
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.86
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.79
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.74
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$113.05
Thunder vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Timberwolvesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.54
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$36.72
Trail Blazers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.39
Spurs vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$207.35
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$39.3
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sam Patterson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.43
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nathaniel Wood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$17.4
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Louie Sutherland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.62
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Shem Rock · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Josh Emmett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.03
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Amanda Lemos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Andre Fili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Harry Hardwick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.72
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$73.92
UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chris Curtis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Steven Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.29
UFC Fight Night: Montserrat Rendon vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Montserrat Rendon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luan Lacerda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.06
UFC Fight Night: Sam Hughes vs. Piera Rodriguez (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Sam Hughes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.04
All 16 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.