NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e14d06c25486fb52ae7754b3b99312ab8c6b21c27e2cde2ba0b701f75c56fce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,440,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,587,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,440,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Warriors | 11c | 274,008$29,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,915.99 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors | 12c | 248,280$29,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,793.62 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Warriors | 1c | 144,507$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.41 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Warriors | 10c | 117,180$11,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,763.15 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Warriors | 11c | 53,760$5,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,913.57 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Warriors | 2c | 48,865$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.4 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Warriors | 10c | 39,735$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.46 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Warriors | 11c | 32,796$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.07 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Warriors | 11c | 30,000$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Warriors | 12c | 28,574$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.21 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Warriors | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Warriors | 11c | 24,589$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.38 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 2c | 24,051$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.78 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 12c | 23,885$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…ce5fbacked Warriors | 0c | 23,492$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 7c | 22,995$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…b9ebbacked Warriors | 9c | 20,336$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Warriors | 1c | 19,647$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Warriors | 1c | 19,165$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…4a8ebacked Warriors | 0c | 18,623$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 4c | 17,093$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.34 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…4116backed Warriors | 0c | 17,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Warriors | 11c | 15,429$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.67 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 1c | 14,941$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 10c | 13,111$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Warriors | 12c | 12,870$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.4 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Warriors | 12c | 12,600$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.98 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 2c | 12,069$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.97 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Warriors | 7c | 12,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.98 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 7c | 11,165$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.59 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 7c | 10,173$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.97 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Warriors | 1c | 10,082$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Warriors | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe509…4245backed Warriors | 5c | 9,960$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.01 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 9c | 9,593$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.34 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Warriors | 1c | 8,249$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Warriors | 12c | 7,928$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.35 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Warriors | 12c | 7,893$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.2 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 12c | 7,814$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.73 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Warriors | 3c | 7,277$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.12 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Warriors | 6c | 6,812$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.94 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Warriors | 1c | 6,719$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Warriors | 10c | 6,522$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.15 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Warriors | 13c | 6,318$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.34 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 7c | 6,114$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.29 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Warriors | 1c | 5,768$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Warriors | 16c | 4,960$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.77 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Warriors | 11c | 4,859$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.22 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Warriors | 9c | 4,037$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.37 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2fb8backed Warriors | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 1c | 3,874$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Warriors | 11c | 3,540$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.43 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Warriors | 11c | 3,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Warriors | 11c | 3,500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Warriors | 9c | 3,320$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.4 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Warriors | 6c | 3,305$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.33 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 3,293$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 5c | 3,158$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.89 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…e774backed Warriors | 2c | 3,103$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 2c | 3,071$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Warriors | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Warriors | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…4824backed Warriors | 1c | 2,916$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Warriors | 12c | 2,842$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.99 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…b218backed Warriors | 10c | 2,679$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.58 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Warriors | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…373cbacked Warriors | 8c | 2,489$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 10c | 2,252$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed Warriors | 12c | 2,239$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.73 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Warriors | 11c | 2,237$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.12 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Warriors | 5c | 2,221$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Warriors | 6c | 2,049$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Warriors | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Warriors | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Warriors | 12c | 1,973$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…39edbacked Warriors | 11c | 1,947$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.66 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2790…2233backed Warriors | 12c | 1,894$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.33 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Warriors | 5c | 1,682$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Warriors | 7c | 1,544$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.52 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Warriors | 12c | 1,521$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.56 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Warriors | 13c | 1,458$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.56 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Warriors | 12c | 1,413$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.55 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Warriors | 7c | 1,395$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Warriors | 10c | 1,327$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.26 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Warriors | 1c | 1,326$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 125 | 8%10 W · 115 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Warriors | 9c | 1,274$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Warriors | 12c | 1,235$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Warriors | 13c | 1,050$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.69 | 731 | 31.1%227 W · 504 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…667dbacked Warriors | 14c | 1,043$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.76 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Warriors | 10c | 1,041$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…64a2backed Warriors | 2c | 1,040$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Warriors | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 539 | 39.5%213 W · 326 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Warriors | 7c | 999.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Warriors | 4c | 999.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…e0d4backed Warriors | 9c | 992.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Warriors | 6c | 982.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…497fbacked Warriors | 1c | 981.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Warriors | 12c | 973.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d7…a654backed Warriors | 2c | 969.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Warriorsthis page
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Warriors won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.