TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,226 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7879…3653backed Yes55c5,367$2,944 inWon+$2,423.7815952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No45c2,166$975 inLost-$974.791,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed No45c1,444$649 inLost-$648.8731455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed No45c423.33$190 inLost-$190.57248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc2…eaefbacked Yes44c419.32$184 inWon+$235.0311056.4%62 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked No45c393.57$177 inLost-$177.1195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked No56c352.66$197 inLost-$197.134522.2%10 W · 35 L-10.8wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-58.2%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3edb…b9e1backed No45c241.75$109 inLost-$108.798160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked No45c218.49$98 inLost-$98.3293145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No45c207.54$93 inLost-$93.045,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed Yes55c177.08$97 inWon+$79.785646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No50c176.25$88 inLost-$88.14,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No49c153.06$75 inLost-$751,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed No50c100$50 inLost-$507557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a58…f9d8backed No45c92.19$41 inLost-$41.482540%10 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Yes56c88.61$50 inWon+$38.9921642.1%91 W · 125 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a12…a366backed Yes46c84.14$39 inWon+$45.442740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No44c76.11$33 inLost-$33.3726638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe193…466ebacked No48c74.37$36 inLost-$35.62646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed No46c50$23 inLost-$2322044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Yes56c49.84$28 inWon+$21.933661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5023…a00fbacked Yes42c48.25$20 inWon+$28.075444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes56c34.74$19 inWon+$15.2684957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd49…515dbacked Yes56c34.6$19 inWon+$15.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2a…427dbacked Yes59c33.06$20 inWon+$13.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes56c24.64$14 inWon+$10.8437753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed No45c24.18$11 inLost-$10.8816647%78 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Yes56c20$11 inWon+$8.896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.