NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72858e405f849b8b002451a17d005472ffaf2bf6b5b1f18a224bbe8ea55d091e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Warriors | 1c | 52,133$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.88 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 38c | 34,121$13,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,109.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs | 68c | 28,865$19,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,247.07 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Spurs | 63c | 25,091$15,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,315.89 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 34c | 18,934$6,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,364.02 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 37c | 9,874$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,618.72 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 29c | 9,368$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Spurs | 61c | 7,569$4,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.77 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Spurs | 61c | 7,500$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.03 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 17c | 6,905$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.29 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Warriors | 14c | 5,038$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.07 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.99 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Spurs | 61c | 4,382$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.94 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Spurs | 60c | 3,988$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.71 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 36c | 3,830$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 60c | 3,512$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.06 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Spurs | 60c | 3,171$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.93 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 38c | 2,857$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.66 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Warriors | 20c | 2,556$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.1 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 40c | 2,500$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Spurs | 60c | 2,440$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 33c | 2,267$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.21 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Spurs | 60c | 2,145$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.99 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Warriors | 39c | 2,041$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.21 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Warriors | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.98 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Spurs | 59c | 1,984$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Warriors | 6c | 1,392$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 37c | 1,279$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Warriors | 12c | 1,143$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Warriors | 37c | 1,104$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.46 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Warriors | 37c | 1,079$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.65 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Spurs | 62c | 936.55$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.75 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Warriors | 41c | 832.85$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.47 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 75c | 784.79$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.67 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Warriors | 34c | 711.15$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.34 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Spurs | 60c | 702.94$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Warriors | 37c | 673.49$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.63 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Warriors | 4c | 657.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…1253backed Spurs | 60c | 656.88$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Warriors | 36c | 542.8$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.41 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Spurs | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e2…42d9backed Spurs | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Spurs | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 382 | 61.5%235 W · 147 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Warriors | 35c | 487.95$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.37 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 39c | 477.54$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.03 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Spurs | 62c | 472.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Spurs | 62c | 437.83$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.56 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 18c | 419.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Warriors | 14c | 395.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 63c | 382.06$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Spurs | 59c | 341.39$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Spurs | 64c | 338.41$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Warriors | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Warriors | 40c | 299.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 37c | 294.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Warriors | 41c | 287.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.85 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Warriors | 37c | 274.93$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…dd59backed Warriors | 12c | 260$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Warriors | 13c | 248.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Spurs | 60c | 244$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Warriors | 35c | 238.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Warriors | 17c | 231.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Warriors | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Spurs | 64c | 225.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Spurs | 77c | 197.51$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Spurs | 59c | 195.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…466ebacked Spurs | 77c | 192.12$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Spurs | 63c | 187.49$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc729…6995backed Spurs | 62c | 173.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Spurs | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Spurs | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Spurs | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…d614backed Spurs | 61c | 160.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Warriors | 27c | 157.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Warriors | 35c | 156.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce7…114ebacked Spurs | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Spurs | 62c | 153.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Warriors | 19c | 150.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…3079backed Spurs | 72c | 149.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Warriors | 19c | 145$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Spurs | 76c | 143.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked Spurs | 64c | 138.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Warriors | 11c | 132$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 71c | 129.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Spurs | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Warriors | 21c | 127.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…d1babacked Warriors | 42c | 124.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Warriors | 12c | 120.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Warriors | 36c | 119.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Warriors | 39c | 112.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…6542backed Spurs | 61c | 112.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Warriors | 37c | 107.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Spurs | 80c | 99.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Warriors | 39c | 98.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Warriors | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Warriors | 32c | 96.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Spurs | 64c | 96.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Warriors | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Warriors | 15c | 93.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Warriors won
- Spurs vs. WarriorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.