TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Warriors33c36,383$11,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,988.321,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors44c35,000$15,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,449.9948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs70c25,111$17,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,624.362,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Spurs56c15,744$8,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,927.52250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Spurs58c9,666$5,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,059.8420843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Spurs56c7,545$4,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,319.9810949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Spurs57c7,492$4,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,221.511,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors42c6,286$2,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.749,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors44c3,047$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.364,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs59c2,855$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs56c2,033$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.441,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs56c2,033$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.441,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs59c1,985$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.712,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Warriors23c1,817$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Warriors18c1,780$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.181,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors44c1,533$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.294,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Warriors43c1,232$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f5…2128backed Spurs58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Warriors43c999.99$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9935049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs56c993.35$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.7890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Spurs56c885.98$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.8320651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Spurs58c734.66$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.565655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Spurs71c695.83$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8826638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Spurs56c581.26$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.0828949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Spurs56c385.96$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8210945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Spurs56c347.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9938152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Spurs68c310.11$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.238646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Spurs69c298.93$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8257550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Warriors44c238.4$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10629344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Warriors46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7616450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs54c199.48$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7673649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eea…f37cbacked Spurs59c198.39$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3427162.4%169 W · 102 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Spurs56c194.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6861957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d5…59e2backed Spurs71c183.66$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.39944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Spurs58c176.84$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Spurs56c175.09$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7451647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Spurs68c146.1$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7537848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors44c135.22$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.494,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Spurs56c132.41$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2629352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Spurs59c124.57$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4214557.2%83 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Warriors43c117.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6135546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Warriors44c115.78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23da…60d9backed Warriors16c107.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f2…a659backed Warriors46c105.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.378943.8%39 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Warriors43c105.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Warriors23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2344345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Warriors44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4466143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Warriors44c95.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.931,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Warriors22c87.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs58c86.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.511,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Spurs56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Spurs56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.252369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+54.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0de5…6cccbacked Warriors44c84.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.14333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors44c80.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.42,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs76c69.83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.793,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Warriors37c67.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.931,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Spurs59c62.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7690560.8%550 W · 355 L-2.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Spurs54c59.42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.341,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Spurs57c58.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors22c56.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.23,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Warriors43c54.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5968645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Warriors37c52.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.247544%33 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Spurs58c48.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4738464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed Spurs56c48.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.423369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed Warriors44c48.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.226628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe523…c6afbacked Warriors45c46.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.815441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Spurs76c46.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.937753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs56c43.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.281,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Spurs71c43.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.887751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Spurs57c42.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.376950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Spurs56c38.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1437253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed Spurs63c36.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.465269.2%36 W · 16 L+11.8wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Warriors46c30.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1319348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Spurs56c25.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3629348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Warriors43c24.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.631,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs67c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs56c18.14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.981,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Spurs58c17.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2815252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.