NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x948f5a818b4a8a685014ef3d17c7341298b842987ef84ef901e11e2f8fb69c2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 51c | 19,353$9,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,404.3 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 6,754$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.76 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 49c | 5,266$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.18 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Under | 42c | 4,938$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.86 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Under | 49c | 3,721$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.44 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 3,665$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.25 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 56c | 3,383$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.8 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 3,162$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.6 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 2,476$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 48c | 2,323$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.93 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 2,229$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…6762backed Under | 48c | 2,064$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.91 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…db02backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Over | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.79 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,442$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.31 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 1,420$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 44c | 1,214$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.49 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 39c | 1,064$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.09 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,002$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.13 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b36…56cebacked Under | 49c | 986.2$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 50c | 887.23$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.68 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…cbb4backed Under | 48c | 806.72$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Under | 45c | 796.5$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.43 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 55c | 707.64$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.44 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…fddebacked Under | 43c | 681.18$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Under | 46c | 634.37$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.24 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Under | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d36…c604backed Over | 76c | 536.06$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 52c | 494.94$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.37 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 60c | 492.78$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.67 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 72c | 437.49$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.31 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 77c | 430.46$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Under | 52c | 364.2$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.38 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Over | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 62c | 314.22$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under | 52c | 310.78$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.61 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 299.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Over | 54c | 259.89$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Under | 44c | 254.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.96 | 192 | 45.3%87 W · 105 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 40c | 250.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 244.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 226.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 220.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.95 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Under | 36c | 215$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 44c | 208.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 203.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Under | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 50c | 198.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 51c | 197.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 53c | 195$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 52c | 191.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 44c | 169.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 59c | 163.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…00e7backed Under | 28c | 162.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 48c | 161.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 23c | 160.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Under | 36c | 157.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 72c | 157.07$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 50c | 150.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…4598backed Under | 44c | 146.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 53c | 144.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 63c | 142.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 30c | 139.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 62c | 138.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…4824backed Under | 39c | 136.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 51c | 135.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 39c | 128.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Over | 79c | 125.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Under | 49c | 123.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Under | 17c | 116.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 63c | 115.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 52c | 108.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 60c | 107.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Under | 52c | 103.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 50c | 97.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 52c | 92.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 17c | 92.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 46c | 90.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 89.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 61c | 86.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 21c | 85.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 43c | 79.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 76.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4016backed Over | 49c | 76.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Under | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 20c | 74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…d2d8backed Under | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 54c | 72.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 51c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…4871backed Under | 34c | 69.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 50c | 69.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Under | 43c | 69.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 54c | 68.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Over | 61c | 63.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 79c | 62.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Warriors won
- Spurs vs. WarriorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.