TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Over51c19,353$9,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,404.311137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c6,754$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,443.761,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over49c5,266$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,673.184134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Under42c4,938$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.864042.5%17 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Under49c3,721$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.448853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over57c3,665$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.252,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over56c3,383$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.81,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c3,162$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.61,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.996746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c2,476$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.779,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over48c2,323$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.9316346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c2,229$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfc…6762backed Under48c2,064$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.911931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.991735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over49c1,939$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.7925641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,442$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.314,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under57c1,420$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.466,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under44c1,214$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.4910764.5%69 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c1,167$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.162,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under39c1,064$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.0926638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,002$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b36…56cebacked Under49c986.2$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.951442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under50c887.23$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.6871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x150c…cbb4backed Under48c806.72$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.581233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Under45c796.5$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.436556.9%37 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over55c707.64$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.4425155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4b…fddebacked Under43c681.18$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed Under46c634.37$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.243860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30622846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Under49c593.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.826741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d36…c604backed Over76c536.06$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.31060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under52c494.94$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3721950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over60c492.78$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6725150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over72c437.49$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3119756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over77c430.46$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Under52c364.2$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.389159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Over62c315.23$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7921450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over62c314.22$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under52c310.78$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6121653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c299.29$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.82,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over54c259.89$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4511033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Under44c254.62$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9619245.3%87 W · 105 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under40c250.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c244.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.854,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over43c232.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c226.3$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.684,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c220.76$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.951,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Under36c215$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.46144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over44c208.82$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c203.38$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.961,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Under17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over50c198.92$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2165349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over51c197.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5435744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under53c195$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over52c191.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.063,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under44c169.12$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4127745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over59c163.47$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3920353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7190…00e7backed Under28c162.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.462035%7 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over48c161.86$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under23c160.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3720247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under36c157.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4811128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over72c157.07$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7911242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under50c150.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd71…4598backed Under44c146.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under53c144.38$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.591,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over63c142.06$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6711261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under30c139.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4637753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over62c138.7$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7121642.1%91 W · 125 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70b0…4824backed Under39c136.96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2350%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under51c135.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under39c128.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.120144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over79c125.58$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8519166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Under49c123.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.494537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Under17c116.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.797441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over63c115.63$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4316369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under52c108.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3362744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Over60c107.93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.937751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Under52c103.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4117046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under50c97.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5438751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5666046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under52c92.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9615252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under17c92.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under46c90.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.611747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c89.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.62,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over61c86.27$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6819550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under21c85.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over43c79.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2117643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c76.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.723,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6210…4016backed Over49c76.86$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Under52c74.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8515446.8%72 W · 82 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under20c74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6445544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Under53c73.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.873661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over54c72.92$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7314640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over51c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6429556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc84…4871backed Under34c69.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under50c69.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9620147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Under43c69.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3926345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over54c68.59$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8244551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over61c63.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.841861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Over79c62.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.462369.6%16 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.