NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ba6c31f297be8ff224a09e231df2c344bf264721413b581e03613ebc1d50e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 46c | 89,063$40,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,968.88 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…3847backed Spurs | 54c | 47,000$25,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,620 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs | 54c | 35,339$19,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,256.89 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Spurs | 52c | 21,798$11,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,463.17 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors | 49c | 19,694$9,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,649.87 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 48c | 12,957$6,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,190.22 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors | 45c | 12,284$5,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,528.01 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 51c | 11,877$6,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,798.43 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 55c | 11,831$6,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 48c | 9,801$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.24 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Spurs | 52c | 9,712$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,661.76 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 48c | 8,622$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,138.44 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Warriors | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Spurs | 52c | 7,770$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.41 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Warriors | 45c | 5,330$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.5 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Warriors | 14c | 4,478$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.73 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Spurs | 55c | 4,423$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.23 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Spurs | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Spurs | 52c | 2,570$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.58 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Warriors | 49c | 2,424$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.52 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Spurs | 51c | 2,178$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.23 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Warriors | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,854$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.38 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 48c | 1,852$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 54c | 1,621$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.51 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Spurs | 51c | 1,618$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.64 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Spurs | 52c | 1,554$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.88 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Spurs | 52c | 1,535$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.78 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 30c | 1,214$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Spurs | 55c | 1,141$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.25 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Warriors | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Warriors | 47c | 988.6$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.64 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Spurs | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Spurs | 53c | 920.64$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.8 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Spurs | 53c | 848.8$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.2 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Spurs | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.71 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Warriors | 47c | 623.46$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.02 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Spurs | 54c | 619.04$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.76 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Warriors | 48c | 581.28$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.01 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Spurs | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Spurs | 53c | 544.19$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.77 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Spurs | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Spurs | 55c | 500.65$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.29 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Spurs | 55c | 462.46$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.37 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Warriors | 48c | 416.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…602cbacked Spurs | 54c | 388.96$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Spurs | 53c | 383.09$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.05 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Spurs | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Spurs | 52c | 372.94$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.01 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Spurs | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…4857backed Spurs | 52c | 310.04$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.82 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Warriors | 49c | 276.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Warriors | 48c | 274.42$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Spurs | 54c | 249.68$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Spurs | 75c | 247.04$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Warriors | 50c | 236.58$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.34 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 51c | 226.2$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Warriors | 48c | 225.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Spurs | 67c | 218.57$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Spurs | 55c | 215.84$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Spurs | 53c | 213.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Warriors | 46c | 205.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Spurs | 55c | 204.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 185 | 34.1%63 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Warriors | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed Spurs | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 51c | 198.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Spurs | 54c | 198$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Warriors | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Spurs | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Warriors | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Warriors | 46c | 193.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Spurs | 52c | 192.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 51c | 190.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.21 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Spurs | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Spurs | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Warriors | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Warriors | 48c | 157.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Spurs | 51c | 149.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Warriors | 48c | 141.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Spurs | 52c | 140.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 53c | 121.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 48c | 121.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Warriors | 46c | 120.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…0f60backed Warriors | 46c | 120.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Spurs | 52c | 118.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Warriors | 49c | 113.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Warriors | 19c | 112.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Warriors | 50c | 110.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 53c | 109.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Warriors | 48c | 104.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Warriors | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Warriors | 46c | 103.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Spurs | 53c | 101.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Warriors | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Spurs | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…a659backed Warriors | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Warriors | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Spurs | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 53c | 94.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Warriors won
- Spurs vs. WarriorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.