NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fae8da09643fb6d3b886a683cba78a130df9bdd6899d0c1f3decdcc27cbbdff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 51c | 27,567$14,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,508.58 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 15,816$7,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,908.06 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 10,906$5,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,343.99 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 8,717$4,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,271.3 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 5,255$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Under | 47c | 3,506$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.47 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 2,979$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 32c | 2,733$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.65 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 60c | 2,424$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.17 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…db02backed Under | 47c | 2,406$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 2,352$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.42 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 53c | 2,318$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.46 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 2,001$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.84 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 53c | 1,899$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.71 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Under | 52c | 1,460$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.22 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 51c | 950.93$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.18 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 861.56$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.17 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 861.56$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.17 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 861.5$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.74 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 49c | 782.77$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.4 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Over | 51c | 734$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.34 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 38c | 721.97$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.94 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 674.07$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 500.42$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.59 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 63c | 465.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 48c | 443.71$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.98 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 405.02$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.31 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 12c | 389.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 50c | 339.5$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.75 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…1310backed Under | 46c | 330$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0988…f6f9backed Over | 56c | 292.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Over | 70c | 279.45$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 48c | 278.05$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.46 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 33c | 253.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 250.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 64c | 237.57$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 49c | 230.09$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.49 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 52c | 225.48$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Over | 67c | 220.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 51c | 207.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 201.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 47c | 199.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 47c | 198$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 53c | 195.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 48c | 195.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 54c | 192.13$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 59c | 188.23$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Over | 54c | 180.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 50c | 177.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 170.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 48c | 167.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 58c | 159.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 150.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0703…f805backed Over | 53c | 146.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Under | 48c | 140.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 60c | 135.88$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 131.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 49c | 127.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 50c | 120.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Over | 50c | 115.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 51c | 114.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 48c | 113.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 47c | 105.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Under | 22c | 101.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 49c | 100.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 55c | 91.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 90.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 50c | 82.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 39c | 79.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 75.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee87…28edbacked Over | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 54c | 67.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…e9adbacked Over | 51c | 66.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 27c | 58.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x185d…5e67backed Over | 50c | 54.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 44c | 54.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 52c | 52.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…9337backed Over | 51c | 47.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 49c | 44.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 49c | 44.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 67c | 42.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Under | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4c…ebeabacked Over | 53c | 37.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…54adbacked Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Warriors won
- Spurs vs. WarriorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.