TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd092…9a30

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
535
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT28127.8%78 W · 203 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 281 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.69
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+136.9%+$47.92
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$100.38
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.7
Showing 25 of 281 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7544%33 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+208%+$58.24
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+477.7%+$281.23
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$9.71
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+73%+$18.24
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.28
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.31
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.65
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.55
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.41
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.57
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.87
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$186.7
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$72.84
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.12
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.64
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.79
76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$34.38
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.85
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.1
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT6830.9%21 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Targu Mures: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Granby: Fajing Sun vs Arthur Geabacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.54
Athens Open: Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Lilli Taggerbacked Marianne Argyrokastriti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.19
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.87
Trieste: Raul Brancaccio vs Matej Dodigbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Newport: Mei Yamaguchi vs Greet Minnenbacked Mei Yamaguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Newport: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Anna Rogersbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.38
Newport: Darja Vidmanova vs Carolyn Ansaribacked Carolyn Ansari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Bastad: Paula Badosa vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Guo/Mladenovicbacked Guo/Mladenovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+740.2%+$88.82
Newport: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$63.98
Newport: James McCabe vs Jason Jungbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iasi: Pedro Martinez vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+192.4%+$76.96
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$89.62
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidabacked Dmitry Popko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovicbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovicbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Quito: Samuel Heredia vs Eduardo Ribeirobacked Samuel Heredia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$45.78
Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Michael Zhengbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Quito: Bruno Fernandez vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Bruno Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$49.63
Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$200.93
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.59
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.54
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$27.07
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.95
Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$43.29
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$22.26
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+87.7%+$26.32
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.33
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+167.7%+$48.07
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$19.43
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+154.4%+$135.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$41.78
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.96
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$16.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+339.8%+$232.92
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$15.77
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.09
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.9
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.15
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+241.7%+$342.64
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+82.9%+$15.76
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$23.11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.22
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.51
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+89.5%+$20.59
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+101.4%+$15.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$13.49
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+53.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-53.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+96.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.41
Will Santos FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+164.6%+$19.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+54.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.09
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+208.5%+$36.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$23.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.