Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06e5d23de659508267c77ca42f2dae890ba89deae6090f98be05bb53e16148f3

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $87,605
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $85,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,605 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe666…713abacked Yes	22c	22,753$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No	78c	21,647$16,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,762.3	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No	79c	15,007$11,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,151.38	131	63.4%83 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	78c	11,518$8,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,576.1	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes	14c	3,474$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.31	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes	17c	3,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	116	38.8%45 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes	23c	2,351$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.62	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	21c	2,246$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.29	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes	21c	2,171$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.91	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes	23c	2,165$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.97	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	76c	2,160$1,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.61	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes	21c	1,969$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.09	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes	21c	1,429$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	173	45.1%78 W · 95 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No	77c	1,100$852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.48	311	71.4%222 W · 89 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes	22c	1,086$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	176	36.4%64 W · 112 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	198	23.7%47 W · 151 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No	80c	999.98$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205	149	45%67 W · 82 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No	76c	999.96$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.99	343	57.7%198 W · 145 L	+26.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2253…4b5abacked Yes	25c	928.92$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.64	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe14…c27dbacked No	79c	883.38$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.38	27	77.8%21 W · 6 L	+5.9wins	+0.22per pick	56cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes	15c	799.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	142	31%44 W · 98 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde0e…e5bcbacked No	77c	791.82$609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.01	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	16c	755.78$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.54	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes	20c	750$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes	15c	706.99$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.05	254	18.1%46 W · 208 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Yes	21c	699.94$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.99	78	16.7%13 W · 65 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd969…7a52backed Yes	21c	697.48$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.47	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	48cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x239a…7fb1backed Yes	21c	656.1$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.78	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x573d…48f3backed Yes	21c	647.76$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.03	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0936…fb00backed No	80c	602.37$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.47	82	64.6%53 W · 29 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Yes	21c	584.04$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.12	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes	21c	523.81$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Yes	22c	512.14$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.67	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Yes	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	228	35.5%81 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	118	28%33 W · 85 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x212d…7766backed Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	25cpaid	+89.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	37%20 W · 34 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+18%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0484…e36cbacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-39%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2ee…0d0ebacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a34…c216backed Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	31%27 W · 60 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes	18c	474.7$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.42	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb115…4e6fbacked Yes	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	127	44.1%56 W · 71 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b1…06b3backed Yes	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	+23%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7731…4b48backed Yes	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes	22c	427.35$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.47	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+8.3wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb50b…a74fbacked Yes	24c	420.74$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	15cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf789…1d87backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d13…e9dcbacked Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	99	40.4%40 W · 59 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba34…32b8backed Yes	53c	408.74$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	261	51.7%135 W · 126 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes	25c	393.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	199	38.2%76 W · 123 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83a…e7febacked No	80c	373.6$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.01	74	68.9%51 W · 23 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes	14c	346.29$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.48	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes	23c	344.48$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.83	319	20.1%64 W · 255 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes	12c	328.08$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.81	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	77c	325.24$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.23	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa159…2ac5backed Yes	5c	305.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	79c	303.06$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.6	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Yes	55c	300$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…64c3backed Yes	11c	300$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	50	22%11 W · 39 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd252…4058backed No	80c	297$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.4	67	67.2%45 W · 22 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed No	80c	294.37$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.37	70	65.7%46 W · 24 L	+6.8wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x182c…64d3backed Yes	14c	292.4$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.24	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+22%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9e…fe9dbacked Yes	24c	270.24$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e28…f043backed Yes	23c	265.22$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	172	44.8%77 W · 95 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca1c…02eabacked No	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	66	71.2%47 W · 19 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	77c	248.87$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.24	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8704…566cbacked No	79c	239.73$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.47	65	84.6%55 W · 10 L	+11.4wins	+0.18per pick	67cpaid	+29%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa4b4…2c37backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91e…a433backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	167	39.5%66 W · 101 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0617…e371backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f5e…9266backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	24cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda7e…5150backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2207…ba56backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+4.9wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7784…b140backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a0a…60a1backed Yes	21c	236.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9be9…aab9backed Yes	21c	234.09$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f24…3a09backed No	80c	230.88$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.18	34	73.5%25 W · 9 L	+4.7wins	+0.14per pick	60cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc632…6871backed Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	102	40.2%41 W · 61 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc757…e5bebacked Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+3.0wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c29…efe5backed Yes	20c	225$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	73	15.1%11 W · 62 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8536…bed6backed Yes	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a5…40abbacked Yes	24c	216.67$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5415…2c97backed Yes	22c	214.03$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes	12c	211.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.44	87	13.8%12 W · 75 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes	23c	210.09$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.32	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes	24c	209.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	156	45.5%71 W · 85 L	+9.3wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa32…99a6backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	165	35.2%58 W · 107 L	+15.3wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked No	80c	194.88$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.98	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cb…b294backed Yes	21c	191.95$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.81	85	22.4%19 W · 66 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad8f…8471backed Yes	21c	190.48$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0196…d9f9backed Yes	21c	186.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd693…bbfcbacked Yes	22c	178.86$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8082…facfbacked Yes	22c	176.05$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.73	63	14.3%9 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	20c	167.37$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.47	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd79c…9f33backed Yes	9c	158.52$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.27	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsthis page
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Emam Ashour: 1+ goalsNo won
Emam Ashour: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Emam Ashour: 4+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsYes won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Haissem Hassan: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 3+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsYes won
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ shotsNo won
Leandro Paredes: 1+ goalsNo won
Leandro Paredes: 2+ goalsNo won
Leandro Paredes: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsYes won
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes won
Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo won
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
Lionel Messi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Mohamed Salah: 1+ assistsNo won
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsNo won
Mohamed Salah: 2+ goalsNo won
Mohamed Salah: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Mostafa Zico: 1+ goalsYes won
Mostafa Zico: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsNo won
Omar Marmoush: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ goalsNo won
Rodrigo de Paul: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Thiago Almada: 4+ goals + assistsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event