Fifa International · resolved market
Lionel Messi: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x109a0ba5a59d568957536e0f19615adac88b9d05046bd447a0c04b2dab3adb19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Yes | 40c | 3,751$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.7 | 214 | 42.5%91 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 60c | 3,208$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.56 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 65c | 2,209$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.99 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 42c | 1,667$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.66 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 50c | 1,228$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.07 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed Yes | 67c | 748.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.15 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 69c | 649.98$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.99 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes | 40c | 614.38$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.63 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…74bbbacked Yes | 33c | 552.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.94 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 528.78$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.44 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 34c | 528.13$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.43 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…90cfbacked Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f53…9acebacked Yes | 30c | 350.46$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 70c | 330.23$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.39 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d0…3df9backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…4448backed Yes | 27c | 281.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.04 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…2648backed Yes | 36c | 280$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed No | 14c | 278.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 39c | 255.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.07 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 74c | 179.86$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked No | 20c | 153.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…c2f4backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes | 36c | 137.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 113 | 23%26 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…2191backed Yes | 36c | 109.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked No | 71c | 106.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…c112backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 63c | 99.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…5c15backed Yes | 20c | 98.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…bfbcbacked Yes | 36c | 83.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…412ebacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 27c | 78.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…b1b3backed Yes | 36c | 68.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 74c | 58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…496abacked Yes | 36c | 55.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Yes | 25c | 55.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…2423backed Yes | 37c | 54.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed No | 69c | 52.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…97a3backed Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…a97ebacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…d936backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 45.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…eff6backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…b98abacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…2c7abacked Yes | 31c | 32.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…fda0backed Yes | 39c | 30.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 69c | 29.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0289…cb8abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a2…b189backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…1ff6backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 76c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lionel Messi: 1+ assiststhis page
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 1+ goalsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 4+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsYes won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Haissem Hassan: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 4+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Paredes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Paredes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Paredes: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mostafa Zico: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mostafa Zico: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rodrigo de Paul: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Thiago Almada: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.