Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87fe731daaa3c813b52b60df78f098bbd88f2eb608085e4f1e188f1fbd497755

Rebuilt 47 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,841 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes	11c	9,250$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,017.5	137	25.5%35 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes	21c	5,800$1,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,210.64	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Yes	28c	5,250$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,472.69	107	36.4%39 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	79c	5,119$4,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077.53	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	28c	3,636$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes	11c	3,000$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	100	26%26 W · 74 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…867ebacked Yes	11c	2,827$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes	7c	1,459$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.41	255	10.6%27 W · 228 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	118	28%33 W · 85 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes	16c	1,001$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.24	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe28c…ffb3backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+5.6wins	+0.19per pick	8cpaid	+805.6%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	137	5.1%7 W · 130 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	2cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes	11c	927.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7d…5e72backed Yes	11c	617.27$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.9	58	10.3%6 W · 52 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed Yes	2c	600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Yes	2c	600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	52	17.3%9 W · 43 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	8cpaid	+525.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	202	24.8%50 W · 152 L	-15.8wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Yes	18c	529.67$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.34	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed Yes	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fac…7ef6backed Yes	10c	494$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.4	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b4…0d8ebacked Yes	14c	329$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.06	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+70.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9726…349fbacked Yes	17c	322.24$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.78	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0034…d5a8backed Yes	5c	320$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	12c	318.54$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.64	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	16c	301.08$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.5	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c84…f6fcbacked No	16c	300$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+12.3wins	+0.20per pick	16cpaid	+119.9%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xce4c…d7efbacked Yes	14c	296.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	113	23%26 W · 87 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b1…06b3backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	+23%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes	18c	255.56$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	255	32.9%84 W · 171 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43c6…dfc7backed Yes	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	17c	249.98$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc51…f872backed Yes	11c	245.69$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.06	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Yes	14c	242.86$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	301	48.2%145 W · 156 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes	10c	238$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.68	281	34.5%97 W · 184 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No	41c	235.93$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.33	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e4c…25c3backed Yes	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182c…64d3backed Yes	9c	227$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.38	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+22%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb50b…a74fbacked Yes	9c	214.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	15cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes	18c	200.5$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.09	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4665…23a8backed Yes	18c	200.17$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.03	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9be9…aab9backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf9…f178backed Yes	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe369…0515backed Yes	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39f…8506backed Yes	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f0…7eb6backed No	16c	150.81$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.68	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	17c	150$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	463	19.9%92 W · 371 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…b31cbacked Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e83…49fcbacked Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ec…c5d6backed Yes	18c	142.16$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	75	14.7%11 W · 64 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a7…4a91backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes	19c	126.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.53	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbe…3857backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…6a3bbacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	23cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce3e…f52cbacked Yes	18c	114.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.12	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7936…1afebacked Yes	18c	105.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.96	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	267	20.6%55 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Yes	18c	96.61$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.39	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-4.6wins	-0.18per pick	33cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes	16c	95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes	17c	93.24$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	667	45%300 W · 367 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bb…1c11backed Yes	14c	92.86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes	18c	83.37$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	375	26.1%98 W · 277 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…d92dbacked Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	164	40.9%67 W · 97 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes	18c	82.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	331	23.6%78 W · 253 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No	80c	70.95$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.19	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x862c…9d40backed Yes	17c	64.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xace7…b7cfbacked Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	12cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Yes	18c	59.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	282	51.4%145 W · 137 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsthis page
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Emam Ashour: 1+ goalsNo won
Emam Ashour: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Emam Ashour: 4+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsYes won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Haissem Hassan: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 3+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsYes won
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ shotsNo won
Leandro Paredes: 1+ goalsNo won
Leandro Paredes: 2+ goalsNo won
Leandro Paredes: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsYes won
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes won
Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo won
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo won
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
Lionel Messi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Mohamed Salah: 1+ assistsNo won
Mohamed Salah: 2+ goalsNo won
Mohamed Salah: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Mostafa Zico: 1+ goalsYes won
Mostafa Zico: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsNo won
Omar Marmoush: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ goalsNo won
Rodrigo de Paul: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Thiago Almada: 4+ goals + assistsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event