Fifa International · resolved market
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x172d18780181318b720dd490d9d162316a68e453b85ebf4ff74262f6bda50f89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 682 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 43c | 28,999$12,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,469.41 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…4079backed Yes | 47c | 28,049$13,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,946.69 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 53c | 25,968$13,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,885.72 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364d…9f8fbacked No | 47c | 21,961$10,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,258.16 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 53c | 18,204$9,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,658.72 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,360 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…9ce1backed Yes | 56c | 11,000$6,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,832.26 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 43c | 9,759$4,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,196.19 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed No | 59c | 6,510$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.59 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 45c | 6,335$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.34 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 43c | 6,253$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.22 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 39c | 5,878$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.25 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 12c | 5,496$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.36 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 36c | 4,536$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.34 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 57c | 4,450$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.89 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked No | 47c | 4,326$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.56 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 69c | 4,326$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.33 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 61c | 4,322$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.18 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 42c | 3,917$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.24 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 3,864$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes | 73c | 3,839$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.71 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 42c | 3,737$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.75 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,885$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.35 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324a…f1a1backed Yes | 52c | 2,818$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.97 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 39c | 2,698$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.59 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 47c | 2,500$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 2,447$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.99 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 43c | 2,309$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.78 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 57c | 2,150$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.5 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Yes | 60c | 2,100$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…a8c0backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.99 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.97 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…53ddbacked Yes | 25c | 1,927$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f3…3ffebacked Yes | 57c | 1,881$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.96 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes | 21c | 1,874$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.66 | 281 | 34.5%97 W · 184 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…93b0backed Yes | 57c | 1,784$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes | 61c | 1,651$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.85 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Yes | 61c | 1,650$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…72a8backed Yes | 59c | 1,638$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.16 | 242 | 56.6%137 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 65c | 1,628$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.49 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed No | 43c | 1,555$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.65 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 59c | 1,520$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.2 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 55c | 1,500$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 40c | 1,437$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.74 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…274ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,318$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.83 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,266$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.65 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…dc43backed Yes | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.07 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 58c | 1,214$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.45 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Yes | 57c | 1,204$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.51 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 38c | 1,181$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.74 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,140$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.6 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…bcd5backed No | 16c | 1,124$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.81 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 58c | 1,070$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.14 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 15c | 1,064$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.31 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed No | 9c | 1,057$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cf…6273backed No | 16c | 1,025$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.03 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…345abacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…273ebacked Yes | 55c | 999.99$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…2cfabacked Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b4…0d8ebacked Yes | 35c | 998.7$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4816…d390backed Yes | 60c | 986.3$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.52 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fac…7ef6backed Yes | 30c | 896.09$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.09 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…e7dfbacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…d996backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…0306backed Yes | 57c | 869.24$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.59 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 43c | 868.93$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.02 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed Yes | 57c | 862.02$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.67 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 58c | 848.61$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.3 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ee…0d0ebacked Yes | 57c | 842.11$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.11 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b052backed No | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 159 | 30.2%48 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 41c | 799.96$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.98 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed No | 3c | 797.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 137 | 5.1%7 W · 130 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…92fbbacked Yes | 54c | 739.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.79 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ca…582bbacked Yes | 47c | 739$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…14c8backed Yes | 20c | 730.3$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 39c | 710.06$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.92 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Yes | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…90cfbacked Yes | 63c | 639.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.75 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 57c | 610.55$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.04 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Yes | 2c | 600$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +525.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…625dbacked Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…f00cbacked Yes | 57c | 561.4$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.4 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…f831backed Yes | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 21c | 549.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.49 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes | 57c | 530.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.19 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7731…4b48backed Yes | 61c | 525.14$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 57c | 522.44$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.44 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 47c | 508.21$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.71 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 1+ goalsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 4+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsYes won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Haissem Hassan: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 4+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Paredes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Paredes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Paredes: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsYes won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mostafa Zico: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mostafa Zico: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rodrigo de Paul: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Thiago Almada: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.