TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6ab…fb13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
304
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT25842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 258 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+396.9%+$15,083.98
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$371.43
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$215.02
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$900
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,868.64
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.63
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$97.4
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$308.16
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+721%+$721.03
Showing 25 of 258 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.25
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+233.7%+$100.15
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+153%+$45.89
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+68.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+174.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+224.2%+$672.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$870.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$396.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.