TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$306,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$312,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes45c67,209$30,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,992.274261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes44c51,064$22,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,794.549649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No17c26,854$4,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,656.592725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c19,525$10,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,7843,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No41c18,583$7,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,614.6399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes46c18,262$8,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,945.9453040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No55c16,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,800825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7414…72a3backed No55c14,000$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,70030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes79c11,513$9,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.5898945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked No55c6,682$3,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.951838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No56c6,330$3,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,540.6168150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No56c6,011$3,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No56c5,904$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,282.0770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No55c5,775$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.4772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No57c5,464$3,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114.851,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed No54c5,246$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No56c4,947$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.145743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No10c4,578$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.491,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No54c4,553$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,458.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No13c4,468$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.852222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c3,696$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.6297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes74c3,245$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.4910644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No12c2,923$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.3113228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes67c2,807$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.913952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes75c2,760$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.9135247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed No35c2,717$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes46c2,618$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.641291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.35per pick57cpaid+66.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked No56c2,380$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No49c2,352$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.5622841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes71c2,279$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.522035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes76c2,270$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.81,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No27c2,224$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.531926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8762…0d85backed No54c2,173$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes45c2,169$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.551225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed No54c2,104$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.091145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes74c1,958$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.0144447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked No55c1,888$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-74.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No54c1,704$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.3214652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No55c1,630$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.8820043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked No55c1,600$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.99825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-58.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes68c1,553$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.131446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No51c1,524$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.051050%5 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes43c1,507$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86133346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No28c1,502$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.711,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked No55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No24c1,477$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.539726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes72c1,443$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.6817753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes43c1,437$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.1632848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No50c1,307$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4171443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes68c1,268$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9622042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes68c1,219$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2236646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.061717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No8c1,020$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.819540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5805464.8%35 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56010358.3%60 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Yes45c999.98$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.992540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No56c999.75$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.894748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No51c970$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.727058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes73c961.14$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.415752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked No55c907.75$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No57c892$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.0991553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.895451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes66c853.26$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.213525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes70c749$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.752639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No57c657$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.4955750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No57c657$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.4968550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c655.1$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38080358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes45c636.13$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3573438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes73c625.31$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2422946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked No33c614$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.27038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No56c611.55$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.472850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed No53c599.99$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.722040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No56c595.23$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.337949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No56c581.61$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No5c561.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5912247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes76c523.49$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed No22c522.95$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.642240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No55c512$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.627047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes45c475.15$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.954440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6b…c494backed No55c459.99$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No57c438$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.664837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes70c430$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Yes56c407.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.652479.2%19 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes45c401.64$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9339435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes74c393.68$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3625652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No22c384.61$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.613622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No55c377.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5835149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Yes73c367$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.38977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+78.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes45c355.56$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed No57c350$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No22c325.03$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.392669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No48c315$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No33c301.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.516341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242524%6 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No31c290.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4580249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Yes71c284$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+304.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No56c280$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+89.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes72c271.86$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.217137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.