TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3131…91cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
345
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT31855.7%177 W · 141 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 318 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchibacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+639.4%+$756.29
US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Honbacked Alice Tubello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.04
Winston-Salem Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Quentin Halysbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+355.9%+$111.65
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$35.39
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Michael Mmohbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$13.11
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+44%+$197.24
US Open, Qualification WTA: Suzan Lamens vs Emerson Jonesbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$141.45
US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$79.49
Philadelphia: Xiyu Wang vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+140.2%+$79.97
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henri Squire vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked David Jorda Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$180.66
US Open, Qualification WTA: Janae Preston vs Nao Hibinobacked Janae Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.96
US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Elizara Yanevabacked Lucie Havlickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$20.8
US Open, Qualification ATP: Michael Antonius vs Henry Searlebacked Henry Searle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.51
ITF W15 Brasov Women: Valentina Abril Bruno vs Ioana Maria Sandrubacked Valentina Abril Bruno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
US Open, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$25.48
Philadelphia: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Sloane Stephensbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US Open, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Akasha Urhobobacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$77.04
US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrezbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$29.36
US Open, Qualification ATP: Laslo Djere vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.38
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchetbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.36
US Open, Qualification WTA: Angela Fita Boluda vs Lin Zhubacked Lin Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
US Open, Qualification WTA: Claire Liu vs Heather Watsonbacked Heather Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+136.6%+$880.87
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garciabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Showing 25 of 318 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.48
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)backed MarQuel Mederos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+333.3%+$181.71
UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.83
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jeremiah Wells · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+80%+$531.85
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Poppeck vs. Jovan Leka (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Jovan Leka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.79
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Thomas Petersen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.59
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.4
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$303.96
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Seokhyeon Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.44
All 9 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+91%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.5
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$205.43
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+333.3%+$49.23
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$475.81
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+155.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PHI vs. NE: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$42.99
Bills vs. Brownsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+178.2%+$325.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+304.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$290.13
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$83.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.53
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+121.8%+$290.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$83.7
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.