TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ignacio Buseof Adam Walton, Ignacio Buse
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$397,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$511,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed Ignacio Buse67c73,770$49,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,217.334854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Adam Walton34c46,803$15,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,718.458,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Ignacio Buse41c24,694$10,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,515.9874439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Adam Walton44c22,771$9,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,994.688,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Ignacio Buse72c22,222$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,222.3614264.8%92 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Adam Walton45c19,271$8,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,744.7911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Adam Walton61c12,000$7,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,319.9964755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Adam Walton35c11,302$3,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,930.744,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Ignacio Buse40c11,117$4,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,642.0917148%82 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Adam Walton41c9,936$4,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,081.213,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Adam Walton62c8,773$5,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4391,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Adam Walton62c7,500$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,65037450%187 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Ignacio Buse39c7,179$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,372.5424840.7%101 W · 147 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Ignacio Buse39c6,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.991,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa00…f736backed Ignacio Buse74c5,680$4,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.881662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a4…f6b1backed Adam Walton10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ignacio Buse38c3,847$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.362,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Adam Walton6c3,386$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.139737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Adam Walton62c3,226$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00093055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Ignacio Buse38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.5713053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Adam Walton49c2,422$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.573,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Ignacio Buse39c2,050$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.535938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Adam Walton25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024452.5%128 W · 116 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Ignacio Buse66c1,916$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.741,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Ignacio Buse39c1,821$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.191,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Ignacio Buse44c1,468$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.951,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ignacio Buse79c1,288$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.371,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Adam Walton48c1,248$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011760.7%71 W · 46 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Adam Walton25c1,170$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.436946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa90…6b3abacked Adam Walton62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Adam Walton61c968.89$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.025364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Adam Walton47c899.94$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.978334.9%29 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Ignacio Buse39c838.52$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.841,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Adam Walton62c810.81$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.710249%50 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f8…495fbacked Adam Walton62c740$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Adam Walton60c714.85$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.025,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1e…20aebacked Adam Walton62c700$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4326560%39 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd335…fe54backed Ignacio Buse45c661.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.5211933.6%40 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ignacio Buse59c639.95$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.678,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Ignacio Buse40c550.85$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.5189850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ignacio Buse38c518.84$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.677,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Adam Walton16c499.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011037.3%41 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Adam Walton43c476$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8735357.2%202 W · 151 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Ignacio Buse70c419.09$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.786,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Adam Walton62c403.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25091754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Adam Walton52c403.22$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.629552.2%154 W · 141 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Adam Walton49c367.29$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18184968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Adam Walton29c342.44$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.681,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Adam Walton37c304.73$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3191051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Adam Walton59c303.58$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.264,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Ignacio Buse40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18024344%107 W · 136 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Ignacio Buse39c300$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.52,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda79…9050backed Ignacio Buse40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18013531.9%43 W · 92 L+0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Adam Walton41c299.18$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3614945%67 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd03…a860backed Adam Walton68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Ignacio Buse38c294$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.281,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Adam Walton21c267.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.271,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Adam Walton42c263.17$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.864,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Adam Walton61c256.38$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.223,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Ignacio Buse79c251.32$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.784,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Adam Walton43c248.89$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8354141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Ignacio Buse48c247$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.576050%30 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Adam Walton48c238.07$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.271,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca1…fc25backed Adam Walton42c237.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.112661.1%77 W · 49 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8411…b4c4backed Ignacio Buse45c234.39$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.395957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Ignacio Buse38c234.21$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.731,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Ignacio Buse39c230$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.337238.2%142 W · 230 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fc…617abacked Ignacio Buse56c227.23$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.85955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed Ignacio Buse73c216.7$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.195543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Ignacio Buse38c213.65$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.462,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Adam Walton19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4075312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Ignacio Buse68c207.91$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1988358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Adam Walton42c204.06$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8915545.2%70 W · 85 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Adam Walton47c202.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Adam Walton63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12614252.8%75 W · 67 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdff…91f7backed Ignacio Buse40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Ignacio Buse39c199.97$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.981,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5da…5fb9backed Ignacio Buse40c187.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.512634.9%44 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0e…1cebbacked Adam Walton27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020939.7%83 W · 126 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Adam Walton44c179.27$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.91,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Adam Walton46c177.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.524,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d98…fe98backed Ignacio Buse43c175.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1215133.8%51 W · 100 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Adam Walton57c167.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.379,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aca…e738backed Adam Walton13c162$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3111861%72 W · 46 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83a2…a3a9backed Adam Walton51c161.06$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.143644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Ignacio Buse49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.62065%13 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Adam Walton63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Adam Walton57c158.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4742946.4%199 W · 230 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Ignacio Buse45c153.2$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8667239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5c…46c3backed Ignacio Buse33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.521442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Ignacio Buse38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ignacio Buse43c145.6$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.73,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Ignacio Buse38c144.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8130648.4%148 W · 158 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Ignacio Buse38c141$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4272638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd4…b60fbacked Adam Walton62c141$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.423050%15 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Ignacio Buse71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.129554.6%161 W · 134 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Ignacio Buse72c137$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3629151.9%151 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Ignacio Buse72c136$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0844552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Ignacio Buse68c136$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.521,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Ignacio Buse72c136$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0833855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.